@augieray The interpritation here isnt a great one.
The wording is proper to say that we expect arithmetic growth but get exponential. But it is incorrect when the section starts with "in other words"... We do not **underestimate** the risk in approach, we misunderstand the growthrate of approach. This isnt the same because a linear growth can exceed an exponential growth during the relevant range of the function.
I attached an image as an example. Here I picked an agressive exponent to show the effect more clearly, the plot is of x vs x^5. Notice how during most of the graph the linear one actually significantly exceeds the exponential. This is my point, seeing linear growth will actually "overestimate" the danger of covid as you close distance not underestimate it, at least at first.
Absolutely.. I didnt say asylum seekers, I said illegal immigrants. A person seeking asylum, assuming they went to the office and registered for it after they enter, is NOT illegal and thus not part of the group I mentioned.
Most countries will five asylum seekers due process, but will aggressively pursue illegal immigrants. The USA doesnt even come close to prosecuting illegal immigrants to the same extent as Europe, not even close. We arent talking asylum seekers in that statement,.
@augieray The interpritation here isnt a great one.
The wording is proper to say that we expect arithmetic growth but get exponential. But it is incorrect when the section starts with "in other words"... We do not **underestimate** the risk in approach, we misunderstand the growthrate of approach. This isnt the same because a linear growth can exceed an exponential growth during the relevant range of the function.
I attached an image as an example. Here I picked an agressive exponent to show the effect more clearly, the plot is of x vs x^5. Notice how during most of the graph the linear one actually significantly exceeds the exponential. This is my point, seeing linear growth will actually "overestimate" the danger of covid as you close distance not underestimate it, at least at first.
I agree wi5h your statements about death being accurate compared tonusual practices.
The assumption about excess death rate is a bit of a leap, we may find many other secondary effects that arent covid are at play to explain the difference.
Yea I dont know what the conditions are, if any. But if there are then shame on Biden for putting barriers between kids. If there were none then shame on your governor for rejecting it with no reason.
Shame, I wonder why he turned down the federal funding? Biden probably had some sort of outrageous conditions on it I suspect, ill have to look it up and read about it. Best of luck getting those kids taken care of. Let me know if i can help.
@dramypsyd Oh hell, what did Biden do this time? Did he break school lunch programs now :( So sorry to hear that, hope your kids get some care and consideration :(
@dramypsyd Agreed, not just kids, everyone should have access to the minimum to survive.
@AmpBenzScientist While I dont doubt there were a few examples of someone engaging in inflated numbers to get aide as was pointed out overall when you consider all the effects that create inaccurate numbers overall the numbers were under reported not over
You are absolutely correct here, Agreed. Thank you for setting him straight.
@lackadaisicalsummer@mastodon.social
n95 would not be full hazmat gear by itself no.
if you are in a setting that is high risk for COVID, especially if there is an outbreak in your area, then when in those high risk areas an n95 is a very reasonable precaution.
Dude I'm literally the guy who invented the fastest way to detect COVID 19 in the world (off breath in 4 minutes)... But yea i guess my typos really proved it huh, lol, what a moron.
@lackadaisicalsummer@mastodon.social
Thats true too. Sadly we live in a society where both is true. One half are scared out of their wits and going around like its the end of the world in hazmat gear 24/7 and full body bubbles.
Then you have the other half who are on some conspiracy theory nonsense about how viruses dont even exist.
Meanwhile there isnt a single level headed objective person going "yea this is a scary disease, but there are lots of scary diseases, nothing to loose sleep over just be responsible"
@AmpBenzScientist the choice is really just between what physical connector you want. v5 are pretty much all the same its just do you want usb a, c, thunderbolt or nfc
The death data wasnt falsified. It was misunderstood though by many.
> We can't have a control group because nearly everyone was exposed. We don't have a healthy non jabbed group because the government and the public persecuted these people.
ITs more complex than that. a person knows when they are sick, so you cant make a virus like this double blind even if you wanted to. When you add in the inability to control for the placebo effect, plus the huge amount of fear that went along with it, its a recipe for wildly inaccurate data even with the best of intentions.
For what its worth I decided that you are probably operating in good faith at this point. I think you mean well. I also think its less about incompetance so much as crippling bias/agenda that may impede your competence. Understandable as you probably have seen the very real harm from the disease.
Even the screen shotted quotes more or less agree with me if you read them carefully. The last screen shot for example talks about how quite a few of the studies in their meta analysis, nearly half, were limited to hospitalized patients. So no suprise that some of the studies in their metanalysis showed 80% figures.. again this is not intended by the study authors to be making the claim you seem to be saying it makes.
Jeffrey Phillips Freeman
Innovator & Entrepreneur in Machine Learning, Evolutionary Computing & Big Data. Avid SCUBA diver, Open-source developer, HAM radio operator, astrophotographer, and anything nerdy.
Born and raised in Philadelphia, PA, USA, currently living in Utrecht, Netherlands, USA, and Thailand. Was also living in Israel, but left.
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(Above pronouns are not intended to mock, i will respect any persons pronouns and only wish pronouns to show respect be used with me as well. These are called neopronouns, see an example of the word "frog" used as a neopronoun here: http://tinyurl.com/44hhej89 )
A proud member of the Penobscot Native American tribe, as well as a Mayflower passenger descendant. I sometimes post about my genealogical history.
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