🎓 Dr. Freemo 🇳🇱 @freemo@social.cleverlibre.org

@hansw the logs dont give any errors or issues that I can see. have you tried uploading it directly to QOTO rather than to a group. Id imagine it will break in the same way and the group part is irrelevant.

@dogs

A photo contributed by @hansw

@hansw There is no "upload to the group"... Groups just reshare your post, the fact that a group is involved shouldnt have any effect, but yes I'll try just to see, who knows bugs can be weird

@hansw Hmm can you see that? seems to work fine when I upload the same image your trying.

@hansw Here is the same picture posted and uploaded to qoto directly...

@hansw Does it happen with all photos or just some? Let me try downloading it from the link and uploading it here and see if i get the issue.

@hansw Is the picture you just linked the same as the picture you tried uploading here or a different picture?

@mistermonster Anything I can say in public i can say in private. If you'd like to continue discussing it, or for a link to some of the results, we can do it in public here.

@mistermonster There are aspects I can share, like the profit results from historic testing, some examples of it making predictions on a chart with a limited time span... but that isnt likely to be helpful for you to get anything useful out of it.

@2ck

Would be a must if i were to release info about it. But even then there would need to be some advantage in doing so.

@mistermonster

@mistermonster Its a tricky place I'm in. If i explain it enough to replicate it then I risk loosing the investment advantage. Moreover if i dont explain enough to replicate it I wont be saying anything useful.

@mistermonster Well anythign that is truly and completely random by definition cant be predicted. so not sure any algorithm could do better than 50% on stochastic data if by that you mean full random.

So im not really sure those two statements are different things... But it was designed for the purpose of the stock market, though should be applicable to any data stream with similar characteristics,.

@mistermonster I do, but it isnt needed. the 0.8% per day 1800% per year figures is the result you get without manual intervention. If you just let the algorithm run.. that includes a little slippage and commission fees (I overestimated both costs).

the 10% figure I saw today was with manual intervention. I had one set of stucks I let it go at completely automated (those on real world seem to get about 1.5% daily), then I use it on stocks I personally like to tell me when to enter and exit on them, so in that case it is just an assist, on those stocks with the algo as a helper it is netting me 10% so far daily (those this last fifgure will likely come down as today was an exceptionally good day for one of the stocks I keep my eye on)

@mistermonster well you can calculate one from the other.

Historic testing shows 0.8% profit **daily**... thats over 18x/1800% yearly... Real world results have been higher (partly because i pick some trades not to execute if there is a reason to speculate against it).

@mistermonster You would think so, but no, no overfittering, I used different test sets to help avoid that, and the actual principles of the algorithm is actually not that complicated. I'd be hesitant to give away the specific details as to why/how but after seeing the results I applied it to other stocks and timeframes and it consistently gave the same performance. Its a day trading algorithm and trades anywhere from once every day to a few times a day, it rides the peaks and bumps.

Made 15,000 in profit today on 150,000 in investment, whcih is better than the historical results which would have had me at around 8K a day on that level of investment. Keep in mind thats no margin use.

@curt

Sadly that is the issue, the only way a stock market algorithm works is when it isnt in the wild.

I am seeing a VERY consistent gain of 0.8% per **DAY** yes thats per day!

@hansw@mastodon.social

Holy hell I think I cracked the stock market! This new algorithm I invented is insane. The back testing was like nothing I've seen and real world performance is already matching exactly what the backtests showed....

@hansw this one doesnt render for me either, though now it is greyish blue and not pink, but still cant see it.

@hansw

Indeed it is pink, and I do see the problem. However if this is a bug the bug would be with QOTO main and not the dog group as it doesnt handle or change the image.

Can you upload the image to your accounts on other mastodon instances successfully I wonder? This may be a general mastodon bug and not related to qoto maybe?

@dogs

@hansw no it shouldnt be, but you dont "upload" to the group. You make a top level post on your own account (which is where the image is uploaded) and the dog group will take your post and add it to the group. So the group server itself shouldnt actually have any effect on the image as it is never uploaded or processed there.