Sorry, yes I must be a nitwit for not thinking it is a bio-weapon designed by an elite group of underground jewish scientists... how stupid of me.
Two lists are maintained for COVID (well many are but two of relevance). One is of everyone who has died who happened to have covid. This is a up-to-the-day set of numbers. The other, and done seperately, is the list of people who are explicitly diagnosed as the cause of death being from covid. This data is delayed by a month or two.
Both have been maintained as accurately as to be expected. But yes cause of death isnt perfect, thats why statisticians adjust these numbers via case studies and sampling to make them more accurate, the exact same way they do with VARES.
I never claimed it was a self reporting database.. but the criteria for reporting to it is **not** that a doctor thinks a reaction is caused by the vaccine (they literally have no way of knowing if that is the case).. So using it to assume it is representive of actual adverse reactions is completely missing the point of VARES
VAREs does not report illness caused by the vaccine. It simply reports all illnesses anyone happened to have and also having been vaccinated.
If you give hundreds of millions of people a vaccine a great many of those will happen to get ill at the same time regardless of the vaccine.
So yea, by simply listing a whole bunch of people people who happened to coincidentally get ill and take the vaccine that tells you absolutely nothing about the safety of the vaccine. For that you'd have to do actual math and have an understanding of statistical analysis, which, once you do that shows its relatively safe.
@lucifargundam I know, shocker!
Probably because some people are conspiracy theorists, so while it is safe they might be under the false impression it isnt...
That said, while all the data shows its safer to take the vaccine than not, I do think its prudent to wait just to make sure. So I wouldnt say someone is a conspiracy theorist if they are just a little cautious either.
@icedquinn he says in the middle of the world's hottest heat wave ever recorded... I bet it was discounted :)
@realcaseyrollins sometimesthesame
As long as you like them... Me as much as I love the vintage pens at a minimum I need a flex nib. You just dont get those cheap, new or old.
@SecondJon Look what your missing is, I spent a lot of time as a Data Scientist doing COVID data.. every single state has two lists.. one of COVID caused deaths (this lags a few months) and a second of deaths of all people who have COVID..
Your state had both these lists just like every other state did.. Both were maintained, both were active, and anyone who was **educated** knew which of the two lists they were viewing (I cant speak to the accuracy of how your news reported it).
No one lied, no one misreported.. you just thought you were looking at one list and were looking at the other.
Here is an article that reinforces what I'm saying:
To quote the article:
> The state of Colorado classifies COVID deaths in two ways: A death due to COVID, where it was the underlying cause, and a death with COVID, where there was a positive test but it wasn’t listed as the cause of death.
This was reiterated when the whole hoopla kicked off as the article points out with the commissioner saying:
> Today, Colorado’s reporting 4,156 COVID deaths, these are actually deaths among cases. Then they show 3,230 deaths due to COVID, and so they’re differentiating that, but I think it can maybe go a little further and I think the policy could be changed,” said Richard Cimino, Grand County Commissioner for District One.
I cant view either of your links, they block me from viewing those pages (since i dont accept cookies or ads).
> Like I said, we were looking at the state department of health official numbers covid19.colorado.gov .
I'm sure you were, and as the quote from the doctor involved with the numbers stated, they were the official numbers of everyone who died with covid. This wasnt hidden or distorted from the public, it was literally written as the standard used for the numbers you were looking at.
Live numbers for deaths due to covid lag by a few months, so they do not exist accurately as live numbers, so you werent looking at that.
> Of your argument is that the Colorado government from which we were directly getting information was pushing bad data, then are on the same page.
No they werent pushing "bad data"... they were reporting exactly what they said they were officially reporting in the feed you were watching. That is, deaths of people with covid. It is a standard measurement and the only measurement we have that is live.. It is "good data" just not the data you thought you were watching apparently.
The government was in parallel, as we covered, also reporting deaths **due** to covid. That data was also good, but not being live data by its nature it isnt what is reported for day-to-day decision making.
> Just like a person writing a media report can convey false information, so can governmemt officials.
Of course, but they didnt. What colorado did **IS STANDARD** you and the rest of the public just didnt understand or were mislead by news agencies that werent careful with their wording, nothing more.
First off, what names did I call you. I did not call you any names. I also didnt call you a conspiracy theorist. I did refer to the general public as acting that way, not you. You happened to (by the looks of it) get duped by watching a very low-quality news report from a questionable news agency and thought it was true. My assumption was you had bad information that was the result of how the general public and fox presented it. My hope would have been (since i dont see you as a conspiracy theorist) your response would be "oh shit, glad you clarified, food thing to know FOX was wrong. The fact that even after FOX news was debunked and corrected you still think the conspiracy is valid is on you, but I couldnt have known that before you responded.
Second, to the point itself... So you and everyone in colorado were looking at the wrong list of numbers, you should have been looking at the list of numbers for deaths due to covid... You could perhaps blame whatever media you watched for that.. but its hard for me to see what the problem is. The numbers were reported correctly for what they were, that much is clear and documented. You were looking at the wrong list for what you thought it was, the correct list was being maintained and you simply didnt follow it.
Part of that is because you were looking at (or wanted to look at I should say) the day-to-day numbers, which dont exist for the "deaths due to covid".
My latest pen is a wet-noodle (extremely flexible) 100+ year old fountain pen. She writes beautifully and is a Waterman's 42 1/2 (the creator of the fountain pen). Moreover she is a safety pen, meaning the nib retracts into the barrel before you put the cap on. There arent too many of these floating around after over 100 years!
@calligraphy #pen #pens #antique #vintage #watermans #fountainpens #calligraphy @writing
"Do NOT insert MicroSIM adapter into #PinePhone without a SIM card"
I was asked to explain the space-weather ticker I posted earlier (attached). This was my reply.
## ionosphere
First off the are two categories of radio operation that is relevant and effected in opposite ways..
1. space to earth
2. earth-to-earth.
Number 2 breaks down in two ways as well that is
2a. line of sight operation, vs
2b. skywave operation.
Skywave operation is really the most relevant here, line of sight might be effected somewhat by noise floor effects from sun but that is only relevant some of the time.
### Reflection Layers
There are two main factors from the sun that affect operation. One is radio interference, this would be caused by flares and ejections directed at earth. In extreme cases it can cause an EMP but thats very rare.
The other is ionizing radiation in the form of UV (a much shorter wavelength version of UV than what reaches the earth), ionized particles, solar wind and similar. This ionizes the ionosphere in a specific way that causes radio waves to be blocked and/or reflected. Basically there are two regions in the ionosphere both in whats called the F-region.. These are F1 which is at 200 km above sea level, and F2 which is at 300 km. The higher F2 layer allows for radio signals at a particular angle to be reflected, this allows radio operators to bounce their signals off this part of the sky and reach distant receivers. Since F2 is much closer to the ground this particular region actually blocks long range communication and thus significantly reduces the distance a radio signal can reach to mostly line of sight.
Usually, when the radiation is high enough, we see the F2 layer ionize first in the morning (basically when the sun is just coming up for people who live near your horizon), which makes the morning the best time to transmit. By afternoon the F1 layer is ionized by sun radiation and thus the signal is blocked again.. the reverse happens in the evening. So early and late day propagation is best. This is called gray-line propagation.
There is also E layer propagation which operates at much lower frequencies and at steeper angles. This is what is used for very short distance transmissions within the 100's of km. This is called NVIS (Near Vertical Incidents Skywave).
## Reading the screencap
Now with this said, it only works when the radiation from the sun is just right. Basically there needs to be enough radiation from the sun to actually fully ionize the layers.
### SFI
SFI on the chart stands for "solar flux index" this is a measure of the quantity of ionized particles and solar wind measured. This is usually in the range of 0 - 400 with 0 - 100 being poor for propagation, 0 - 200 being marginal, and 200+ being ideal/good.
### SN
SN stands for sunspot numbers, these effect different layers selectively. sunspots reflect the intensity of the sun's magnetic field. It ranges from about 0 to 400 as well.
Lower values here show a preference to ionize lower levels of our ionosphere. 0 to about 150 will preferentially ionize the E-region and be ideal for low frequency propagation (160m wavelength to 80M) in the NVIS configuration, so very short distance (100's of km) propagation only which is all these low frequencies can ever do.
Higher values, above 200 means the F-regions are preferentially ionized. That means low frequencies like 160m and 80m will not propagate at all and only work line of sight (10's of km), but higher frequencies ~20m and higher in frequency will propagate via skywave. These frequencies now can propagate 1000's of km around the world in these conditions (assuming SFI and other factors are good).
### K index
The next line is K-index just labeled K. This one is rather complicated.. it basically looks at the horizontal component of the earth's magnetic field and how it is disturbed (which is an indirect way of measuring the solar winds and its interaction of the earth).
This doesn't effect the ionosphere itself so much as the other measures since its only partly effected by solar winds. This is used as a measure of expected band noise and thus how high the noise floor will be. the max value is 9 and indicates significant noise. 5 is about the cutoff where geomagnetic storms are present.
The K-index is not linear and is calculated from the a-index (lowercase a, different from A-index below).
### A-index
is really just another way of measuring K-index. Or to be more precise both A-index and K-index are calculated from the underlying a-index (a-index is different from A-index). The A-index is the average of the last 8 a-index, and thus has a much simpler interpretation.
Think of A-index as a long-term rolling average of the K-index in a different scale.
Generally A-index is even less linear than K-index with 0-50 being low noise and 100 - 400 being high noise.. lower is better.
### 304A
304A stands for "304 Angstroms" which is the wavelength of UV light measures. Basically its the strength of UV radiation from the sun as measured from space (different than earth UV levels). the "@ SEM" part refers to the instrument on the satellite used to record it, called SEM, SOHO and EVE are other possible instruments used to get this measurement and it changes depending on the instrument available at the time.
In this case higher is better as it means more of that F-layer ionization I mentioned.below 80 is poor, 150 and up is good, 250 and up is amazing.
### Ptn/Elec Flux
This is Proton and Electron flux. These have a similar effect as UV except they ionize the E-layer more so than the F-layer. So they harm long distance short wavelength propagation but improve short distance long wave-length propagation.
### Aurora
This is just the predicted chance of aurora. Not directly relevant for radio.
### Aur Lat
This tells us the largest lattitude likely to see the aurora.
### Bz and SW
This is the interplanetary (in space) magnetic field vector (B-field means magnetic field). This is the magnetic field that is incoming and striking the earth from space.
The Bz part is the intensity, the SW part is the direction in degrees. When it lines up with the earths magnetic field it strengthens it, when it doesnt it weakens it. Positive values strengthen it, negative weaken it.
### other values
Everything else is self explanatory I suspect. "solar flare prob" is the percentage change of a solar flare, which we dont tend to know until just a few minutes before their ejections strike.
"MUF" stands for "Maximum Usable Frequency". It indicates the highest frequency (shortest wavelength) that is likely to be capable of bouncing off the ionosphere (f-layer or e-layer) and therefore the highest frequency capable of skywave propagation.
#radio #rf #science #space #spaceweather #ham #hamradio #QOTOJournal
Jeffrey Phillips Freeman
Innovator & Entrepreneur in Machine Learning, Evolutionary Computing & Big Data. Avid SCUBA diver, Open-source developer, HAM radio operator, astrophotographer, and anything nerdy.
Born and raised in Philadelphia, PA, USA, currently living in Utrecht, Netherlands, USA, and Thailand. Was also living in Israel, but left.
Pronouns: Sir / Mister
(Above pronouns are not intended to mock, i will respect any persons pronouns and only wish pronouns to show respect be used with me as well. These are called neopronouns, see an example of the word "frog" used as a neopronoun here: http://tinyurl.com/44hhej89 )
A proud member of the Penobscot Native American tribe, as well as a Mayflower passenger descendant. I sometimes post about my genealogical history.
My stance on various issues:
Education: Free to PhD, tax paid
Abortion: Protected, tax paid, limited time-frame
Welfare: Yes, no one should starve
UBI: No, use welfare
Racism: is real
Guns: Shall not be infringed
LGBT+/minorities: Support
Pronouns: Will respect
Trump: Moron, evil
Biden: Senile, racist
Police: ACAB
Drugs: Fully legal, no prescriptions needed
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