Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

Boris Johnson’s Leader of the Commons admits the problem with a second referendum is British public would vote to stay in the EU.
https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/news/rees-mogg-admits-if-public-had-informed-decision-now-second-referendum-would-overturn-brexit-vote/02/09/

I feel like I have been invoking Hanlon's Razor **way** too often lately.

‘Wales may tag along with England if union breaks up', says former Newsnight presenter. https://nation.cymru/news/wales-may-tag-along-with-england-if-union-breaks-up-says-former-newsnight-presenter/

Wales to lose big chunk of spending power as UK Government replaces EU money with central pot. https://nation.cymru/news/wales-to-lose-big-chunk-of-spending-power-as-uk-government-replaces-eu-money-with-central-pot/

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
The fairly rapid fall in the number of cases continues. Deaths are very slightly up, though that's probably just noise at this stage.

The exceptional fall in cases of yesterday (which I suggested was suspect) probably was indeed a little unrealistic, though not so far off the mark as I thought it might be. Along with today's figure - which is not quite such a dramatic drop on a week ago (but still a relatively good one),
1/4

today's figures confirm that there has been an acceleration in the rate of fall. 1172 new cases were reported (cf 1660 last Sunday).
7-day average: 1487 - DOWN 70.

Positivity is also low - at just 14.0%. This is the lowest it's been for a long time. When fewer tests come back positive, it suggests we're finding a higher percentage of actual cases, and that cases really are down. It's no accurate measure of course, but it is a pointer.
2/4

R (estimate): 0.81 - UP 0.01
If, as I suggest, yesterday's figures were slightly too low, the fact that R is only up a little today is good news. It also suggests my doubt yesterday was correct. The last time R was this low was on Tue 10th Nov, as we came out of Lockdown2.

#Ceredigion sees a slight rise: 17 cases keeping the county's average frustratingly in the high teens.
7-day average: 17.71 - UP 0.86
3/4

There were 48 deaths. Although this takes the 7-day average up a little, at this stage that's probably just noise. When dealing with lower figures (compared to, e.g. cases) noise is more apparent. The wider trend is down, since the peak on 7/1.
7-day average: 44.29 - UP 0.43
4/4

The Brexit deal locks the UK into continued Strasbourg Human Rights court membership https://ift.tt/3oSbJ47

A good way to fight against #Facebook's anti-privacy ways is to ditch #WhatsApp today.

This is already happening in droves since there is a "share data with Facebook or else" in play.

There are better solutions. They don't need to be perfect, but they should be encrypted as a start and weigh your options for other needs.

One thing to avoid is texting over SMS as an alternative, as this is not secure.

Is Mastodon really decentralized and censorship resistant? what if amazon or any cloud provider decide to go after some or all the instances like it did with parler? i think a master piece is still missing like IPFS or STORJ on blockchain as decentralized storage filesystem, i think also that we should look at some early decentralized application like emails and learn from the mistake's that allowed Google as gmail and MS as hotmail and yahoo to takeover by implementing restriction on who is allowed and not to send emails, now day's even if you implement all the good practice ( domainkey, spf...) you'll still not be allowed to direct message to inbox unless the IP is warmed up for few month's or years or whitelisted explicitly. fighting spam should also be thought in a decentralized way.

Truth is generally the best vindication against slander.

– Abraham Lincoln

#Quote

Here are today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
Cases still trending down. R falls again. Deaths still high.
There were 1808 cases reported today. Friday tends to be the highest of the week, so the fact that it is up on yesterday is not a concern. It's significantly down on a week ago.
7-day average: 1735 - DOWN 97
1/3

R (estimate): 0.85 - DOWN 0.04
That's again excellent, as it suggests the fall in cases is accelerating. The number of tests coming back positive is also amongst the lowest of the last month, at 16.9%

There were 54 deaths (same as yesterday). We've seen nothing more than a slight fall over the past few days, but hopefully that fall will accelerate as the lower case numbers eventually translate to fewer deaths.
7-day average: 44.86 - DOWN 0.29
2/3

#Ceredigion has 26 new cases. This is up. The (very estimated) R for the county hovers just above 1.
7-day average: 17.71 - UP 0.86
Watch https://portalcovidcymru.co.uk/map.html for where in the county these cases are (at present, still showing yesterday's data).
3/3