Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

News in brief: Concern grows over origins of new South African variant cases. https://nation.cymru/news/news-in-brief-concern-grows-over-origins-of-new-south-african-variant-cases/

After many dull days, today was a fine #winter's #day with an almost clear #sky. The #sunset was nice and bright and in stark contrast the types we’ve been having recently.

#MyWork #MyPhoto #CCBYSA #DSLR #Nikon #D7000 #Dusk #Evening #Afternoon

Machine learning made easy with Python - Solve real-world machine learning problems with Naïve Bayes classifiers

Naïve Bayes is a classification technique that serves as the basis for implementing several classifier modeling algorithms. Naïve Bayes-based classifiers are considered some of the simplest, fastest, and easiest-to-use machine learning techniques, yet are still effective for real-world applications.
Naïve Bayes is based on Bayes' theorem, formulated by 18th-century statistician Thomas Bayes. This theorem assesses the probability that an event will occur based on conditions related to the event. For example, an individual with Parkinson's disease typically has voice variations; hence such symptoms are considered related to the prediction of a Parkinson's diagnosis. The original Bayes' theorem provides a method to determine the probability of a target event, and the Naïve variant extends and simplifies this method. https://squeet.me/objects/962c3e10c2ef0b72b73638e2ecebfd6e1472be79

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
Trends for deaths and cases continue steadily downwards. R is up though, but that is quite possibly due to the effect of last weekend's bad weather working through.

There were 605 new cases reported today. This continues the downward trend. We saw some unexpectedly low figures earlier in the week, and a casual glance at the chart might suggest the fall is stalling.

I think this isn't the case; the belief (not just mine) is that the earlier figures were due
1/3

to adverse weather last weekend, and so people were not able to get to test centres. This is, however, only a guess; we can't be sure yet.
7-day average: 653 - DOWN 27

R (estimate): 0.79 - UP 0.06
This is still slightly lower than where it was a week ago (before the bad weather effect would have come through), so I'm not concerned yet about its apparent rise. It's probably back to about where it should be, following last weekend's snow.

2/3

Positivity is 10.5%; a little up on the last 2 days, but still lower than any other day for a very long time.

There were 34 deaths recorded today. That's 10 down on last Sunday, so the average falls - to its lowest since mid December.
7-day average: 32.0 - DOWN 1.43

#Ceredigion has 4 new cases. That's a shame after a 0 and a 2 the last 2 days. Yesterday's 2 were both in the south; I don't know yet where today's are. Watch https://portalcovidcymru.co.uk/map.html for info.
7-day average: 4.0 - UP 0.29
3/3

Earlier today I posted a #photograph of several #birds sitting in some #trees. Well, just now, there was a multitude of what I think were #starlings. They also gave an impressive #AerialDisplay when they got disturbed by a #crow or other larger black bird.

#BirdsOfAFeather #roosting together.

#MyWork #MyPhoto #CCBYSA #DSLR #Nikon #D7000 #Nature #Winter #Wildlife

Wales has both lowest rolling Covid case rate and highest rolling vaccine rate in the UK. https://nation.cymru/news/wales-has-both-lowest-rolling-covid-case-rate-and-highest-rolling-vaccine-rate-in-the-uk/

@iankenway
In case anyone would like to check out the book first:

https://1lib.us/book/1235619/47b136

FUCK! The eyedrops I ordered just came in and I go to look at the ingredients and I see "Belladonna 6X" and im just like.. well that is a weird ingredient for eye drops, that shit is extremely toxic...then i realize, FUCK this is some homeopathic sca medicine... Cant believe I gave these snake oil salesman money for this shit.. I literally bought the most expensive bottle of water (0.5 fluid ounces) ever sold! I really need to check labels more BEFORE I order online.

They need to require all homeopathic products to have a big sticker on it that says "this shit is a sca"

Welsh actor Luke Evans lands role in Disney’s Pinocchio alongside Tom Hanks. https://nation.cymru/news/welsh-actor-luke-evans-lands-role-in-disneys-pinocchio-alongside-tom-hanks/