Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

@iankenway I saw it earlier on The Guardian, and it's a pity. His columns were very good, well explained and practical advice always.

RIP, Jack. 😔

And so, I can only conclude, the Herd Immunity policy lives on. To me, this statement is an inadvertent admission of that. Nothing else makes sense. 6/6

The reason for this is that Hywel Dda is a more widely dispersed community, with at present a lower level of (reported) infection than other areas. It therefore will take longer to spread to the 80% (or whatever is required for that herd immunity), and it still has further to go than most other areas. 5/6

There is no doubt that some spread will continue through those who continue to work and shopping, but the more worrying to me is the second implication. For that to be true for Hywel Dda, rather than others, I can only assume they are working on the "Herd Immunity" principle.4/6

If Hywel Dda think the lockdown will not be effective, we have to ask why. Is it because the government have not locked down hard enough? For example, do they believe it can spread through going shopping or the few people who continue to work? And why in particular Hywel Dda (as opposed to other areas, which by implication would peak earlier). 3/6

If a lockdown is to be effective, it WILL cause the number of deaths per day to decrease. There is no question about that. This means the peak WILL be reached within a certain period of the lockdown being implemented (probably about 3 weeks - if reports of time to hospitalisation/death are right). 2/6

I am very concerned by this from Hywel Dda health board: "Hywel Dda health board says it is not expecting the coronavirus outbreak to peak there until early June" https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-wales-52109629
Not so much because it is in itself worrying, but because of its implication for the data they are presumably working on. 1/6

#COP26 postponed to 2021

The COP26 #UN #ClimateChange conference set to take place in #Glasgow in November has been postponed due to #COVID19.

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/cop26-postponement

#UNFCCC #NDCs #ClimateChangeAdaptation

Nation.Cymru
@NationCymru

Thanks to all our readers and contributors on what has been our busiest ever month for visitors. Please join us and continue to contribute as we discuss together how Wales handles the difficult next few months and rebuilds from here.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1245100605707816960

#ClimateCrisis may have pushed world’s #tropical #coral #reefs to tipping point of ‘near-annual’ #bleaching | #Environment | The Guardian

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/01/climate-crisis-may-have-pushed-worlds-tropical-coral-reefs-to-tipping-point-of-near-annual-bleaching

#GlobalWarming #ClimateChange

The coronavirus letter you’ve just been sent by Johnson is a lie https://youtu.be/aKTwBbge4lQ

Logitech webcams on Amazon? Completely sold out.

Scalpers are trying to cash in and are now asking for anywhere between 2 to 20 times the retail price on eBay. I know and understand how the market works, but that doesn't mean I can't despise it.

@eff yes, and EFF also needs to stop calling their TWTR feed "official" & their #Mastodon feed "unofficial". EFF should not even mention their TWTR feed outside of TWTR. Send website visitors to Mastodon instead.

Today's #Covid19UK death figure of 1228 (+209) is slightly below the 1276 I had expected based on the average rate of increase over the last 5 days. This brings the averaged increase down from 25.2% to 24.1%, slightly delaying the date at which 20K is forecast to be reached.
Bear in mind that average time from infection to death is 18 days, so I don't see any reason to expect a significant slowing until 18 days after lockdown - i.e. Good Friday, 10th April.