Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

Cool heads and detailed arguments must win out if the independence movement is to succeed. https://nation.cymru/opinion/cool-heads-and-detailed-arguments-must-win-out-if-the-independence-movement-is-to-succeed/

Senedd committees slam Westminster over Brexit 'power grab' bill. https://nation.cymru/news/senedd-committees-slam-westminster-over-brexit-power-grab-bill/

Today's #Covid19Cymru case figures from PHW look like good news again. 797 cases reported today brings the 7-day average down 79 to 810. Friday usually sees the highest figure of the week, so it's particularly pleasing to see drop again today (cf yesterday 867).
1/2

We should be around the peak for deaths now. Before lockdown, I predicted it for the end of this week, and also the average in the upper 20s. Today's 29 deaths takes the 7-day average up to 27; that average is obviously centred on last Tuesday so could go a little higher yet.
No local authorities are in triple figures again, but only 2 make single figures (Ceredigion is up again at 13). RhCT regains worst spot at 86, but that represents significant progress for them.
2/2

All Wales prevention zone declared to stop the spread of bird flu after three cases in England - Nation.Cymru https://nation.cymru/news/all-wales-prevention-zone-declared-to-stop-the-spread-of-bird-flu-after-three-cases-in-england/

I felt slightly uneasy when I saw today's #Covud19Cymru case figure - 867. It's higher than the average of the past 2, 3, 4 or 5 days. But the 7-day average is down, and it seems that the number of cases tends to rise towards the end of the week
(yesterday's figure was artificially high due to some data being carried over from Tuesday).
Given that, it's probably OK, but not as good as I hoped.
1/2

If schools going back last week has had a -ve effect, it's now that we'd expect to be seeing it.
7-day average: 889 down 58.

34 deaths were reported today, taking the 7-day average up 0.57 to 24.71.
I am expecting we'll see the peak in deaths over the next few days, so hopefully we won't go much (any) higher.
2/2

It's notable that for the first time in a very long time, nowhere is in triple figures. The highest is Neath Port Talbot on 98.

For some reason, these figures were late being published today.

#Covid19Cymru

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"
A row has broken out at the heart of Downing Street as one of Boris Johnson’s most senior aides – and a close ally of Dominic Cummings - resigned amid bitter infighting."

Lee Cain: Johnson's senior aide resigns amid infighting at No 10 https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/nov/11/lee-cain-pms-senior-aide-resigns-amid-infighting-at-no-10?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

With all those #Covid19Cymru warnings in place, here's the chart for local authorities. It's interesting to see how Ceredigion is right back down from 46 to just 2, sharing bottom place with Môn, and - of all places - Denbighshire. Top, at 61, is Cardiff.

I have no idea whether testing in non-NHS labs - which is not included in today's figures - is distributed evenly across Wales or concentrated in certain areas. So any comparisons have to bear this in mind.

Weakness of Welsh media causing 'unacceptable and unsustainable' democratic deficit. https://nation.cymru/news/weakness-of-welsh-media-causing-unacceptable-and-unsustainable-democratic-deficit/

Richest countries shouldn't hog Covid-19 vaccine, Wales' Christian Aid says. https://nation.cymru/news/richest-countries-shouldnt-hog-covid-19-vaccine-wales-christian-aid-says/

Today's #Covid19Cymru figures might look bad at first sight, but are actually relatively good news.
Recall that yesterday's case figures were artificially low due to a data failure from non-NHS labs. And despite that, the 7-day average still goes down 39 places to 947.
45 deaths sounds awful too (of course every death is a tragedy) but it's up just 1 on last Wednesday, so the 7-day average deaths creeps up 0.14 to 24.14.
I predicted the peak the second half of this week, so that's looking good.

"We believe that there will be a referendum on Scottish independence in the coming years, followed by the reunification of Ireland, what then for Wales?"

YesCymru membership doubles in three weeks to hit 15,000 - Nation.Cymru https://nation.cymru/news/yescymru-membership-doubles-in-three-weeks-to-hit-15000/