Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

Today's #Covid19Cymru cases figure of 931 is a little disappointing. It is significantly lower than last Monday's figure (and hence the 7-day average goes down), but that figure was artificially high because of data carried over from the previous day due to the "bungle" I mentioned yesterday. It's up on yesterday's 744. And I can't see a pattern of Mondays being higher in the past.
But noise happens, and let's hope it's just that.
1/2

If schools going back last week had an adverse effect, we probably wouldn't see that quite yet (but maybe soon).

Ceredigion 46 today! (News of a care home in Aber having an outbreak).
RhCT, Cardiff and Swansea all double figures. Môn bottom with 3.

8 deaths were reported. It's normal for deaths on Sunday and Monday to be lower (last Monday was just 3), so the average goes up again, by 0.71, to 21.43.
There are a few more days to go yet before I anticipate the peak in deaths being reached.

Today's #Covid19Cymru figures show a continuation of the predicted trend - up for deaths (and will be for a few days yet), down for cases (and that's despite last Sunday's cases figure having been artificially low due to a data bungle).
Deaths: 19
7-day average: 20.71 (up 0.43)
Cases: 744
7-day average: 1184 (down 11)

Due to the cases data bungle last Sunday, and correction last Monday, tomorrow's cases figure will reduce the 7-day average a lot more.

Local Authority #Covid19Cymru data below. The safest county today is Pembrokeshire (4), with Ceredigion up to 14. But only one authority is in triple figures, and that only just - Rhondda Cynon Taf (102)

Johnson risks rift with Biden by pressing ahead with Brexit bill - https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/nov/08/dominic-raab-joe-biden-no-deal-brexit what an arrogant fool johnson is, even when a new reality is staring him in the face... #brexitshambles

Ya know I just realized I've never seen a single pro-cannabis post on the fediverse... when I think about it that is kind of unexpected.

@iankenway
Kind of you, ill let people know.
@General

Just a reminder to anyone in the fediverse, including people i havent met yet... If you are struggling with depression, mental illness, or just need someone to talk to, please reach out to me anytime. I care about you even if i dont know you and if i can help I will do my best, even if you need more attention or help than some nice words or a chat, i will try to be there for you.

I think all too often people struggling with these things feel no one cares or that it is hopeless. So to whoever you are im telling you now, I care. It doesnt matter if we argues, if we dont agree, if you were mean to me. I care and want to help.

DM me!

#mentalhealth #depreasion #sad @General

I dont necceseraly think that the election was rigged, waiting on the evidence to decide. But man this meme is spot on.

#uspol

I'm starting to loose hope... but there is a chance...

What happens in Nevada stays in Nevada, eh?

Everyone complaining about decriminalisation of ketamine can get off their high horse.

We have another high figure for deaths today in #Covid19Cymru - 30, taking the 7-day average up to 17.3. I suspect there was an element of catching up again; looking at he trends I've been expecting we might see up in the high 20s a day by the time we reach the peak around the end of next week, but not quite this early.
I'm attaching my total cases graph today, which I haven't shown for a while. It's quite stark the way deaths rose again from mid September.
1/2

New cases, 1272 today, takes the 7-day average below 1300 (1299.4) - it first went above that a week ago. So this is further indication that the peak has passed. Though today's fall is only marginal, at just 15.

Screenshot of PHW data on the web included. Ceredigion once again is at the bottom with just 5. RhCT top with 216, but note Merthyr's cases per 100K, and the very high positivity rate for some areas .
2/2