Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

Today's #Covid19Cymru data has 2 days in 1, so I have divided the totals across the 2 days for the sake of graphs and calculating trends.
It's a mixed picture today. The most worrying thing is that my estimated R has gone back above 1, but there are caveats.
4011 new cases were recorded for the 2 days (I've recorded 2005.5 per day). That takes the 7-day average to 2237 - DOWN 18 over 2 days.
1/4

R (estimate) 1.00 (to 3 decimal places, 1.004) - UP 0.05 over 2 days.

R is very worrying, and would be consistent with the new, more infectious strain gaining ground.

Caveat 1: data over the last 2 weeks have been less regular, and the positivity rate was high. Today it's lower than it's been for a week (20.4%). The higher the +vity, the more the actual figures are likely to be an under-estimate, so this figure is going the right way.
2/4

Caveat 2: many expected a surge following irresponsible or unwise behaviour on Christmas day. If this happened to a significant degree, now is when we would be seeing it in the case figures. So this could be a blip. Only time will tell.

There were 56 deaths reported today. I've therefore recorded 28 per day for the last 2 days.
7-day average: 36.0 - DOWN 2.0 on 2 days ago.
3/4

33 cases were recorded in #Ceredigion over the 2 days - I've recorded 16.5 per day.
7-day average: 19.14 - DOWN 0.57 on 2 days ago.
A very rough estimate of R for Ceredigion is 1.14. Such an estimate can only ever be rough because the figures are relatively low.
4/4

Shock poll predicts Boris Johnson would lose Welsh ‘red wall’ seats and majority. https://nation.cymru/news/shock-poll-predicts-boris-johnson-would-lose-welsh-red-wall-seats-and-majority/

People 'posting crap on social media' big barrier to Covid control says leader of hard-hit council. https://nation.cymru/news/people-posting-crap-on-social-media-big-barrier-to-covid-control-says-leader-of-hard-hit-council/

🎵 There'll be lorry parks over
The white cliffs of Dover,
Tomorrow, just you wait and see... 🎶

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/01/residents-furious-brexit-lorry-park-kent-village

Better late than never! Let's hope 2021 will kick Covid in the butt!

Here's my summary of today's #Covid19Cymru figures:
Data is a day old. Generally not good news, but given the new year break we should be very careful drawing any conclusions from this. Tomorrow should give a clearer picture.

There were 2764 cases recorded in what would normally have been the data reported yesterday. That's significantly higher than the trend would have suggested. Could it be the Christmas Day effect? Or just data issues?
7-day average: 2257 - UP 75
1/4

R (estimate): 0.95 - UP 0.05
Whilst recent days have suggested the fall in R was flattening, or maybe even beginning to climb again, this is still a much bigger rise than I would have expected. It doesn't tend to change that quickly. Let's wait until tomorrow before drawing any conclusions.

2/4

There were 70 new deaths recorded. Again this is extraordinarily high for a single day, and further suggests that the main issue today is data, not an actual increase. Friday and Saturday are not normally especially high.
7-day average: 38.0 - UP 5.0

#Ceredigion has 33 new cases. Again, far higher than would be expected; few conclusions should be drawn, except perhaps that this is an even higher increase than seen in other data - so that's a little concerning.
7-day average: 19.71 - UP 3.71
3/4

My guess is what has happened here is that the data from 31st December - which is what is being reported on here - is more complete than usual. Therefore, we're seeing higher totals across the board than we would expect in a normal day.
Tomorrow should report two days in one, and then we'll at last be back to "normal" in terms of reporting, and hopefully patterns will emerge more clearly over the coming week.
Attached image is a screenshot for all local authorities from PHW web site.
4/4

advance?
https://journals.aps.org/prxquantum/abstract/10.1103/PRXQuantum.1.020317

Abstract

Quantum teleportation is essential for many quantum information technologies, including long-distance quantum networks. Using fiber-coupled devices, including state-of-the-art low-noise superconducting nanowire single-photon detectors and off-the-shelf optics, we achieve conditional quantum teleportation of time-bin qubits at the telecommunication wavelength of 1536.5 nm. We measure teleportation fidelities of ≥90% that are consistent with an analytical model of our system, which includes realistic imperfections. To demonstrate the compatibility of our setup with deployed quantum networks, we teleport qubits over 22 km of single-mode fiber while transmitting qubits over an additional 22 km of fiber. Our systems, which are compatible with emerging solid-state quantum devices, provide a realistic foundation for a high-fidelity quantum Internet with practical devices.

Charlas de la revolución

**Charlas de la revolución**
Sexagésimo segundo aniversario del triunfo de la Revolución Cubana

**Realización y producción**: Instituto de Relaciones Culturales Mexicano Cubanas "Flores Magón - Mella"

País: México

Fecha: 1 de enero de 2021

@politicaconc @PoliticaConC
https://fotogramas.politicaconciencia.org/videos/watch/8071829e-ab5c-4c06-834c-fd1c20465cd6

The #UK is about to overtake #Italy again in terms of number of deaths from #Covid-19. This is not looking good.

#Pandemic #Coronavirus

So I wake up and pop Sky News on to see what's going on in the UK and they are reporting that the head of Public Health England is 'advising' against mixing vaccines because the government has apparently suggested that this is what that are going to do!

This following on from them deciding that they won't observe the recommended time span between doses.

We really are just one big lab experiment to them aren't we?

#Covid #UKPol #PublicHealth