Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

Moving Six Nations to paywall TV 'cruel' during pandemic, opposition parties say. https://nation.cymru/news/moving-six-nations-to-paywall-tv-cruel-during-pandemic-opposition-parties-say/

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines: Wednesday 13th January
Cases still trending down. Deaths showing signs that they're passed the peak (though it's too early to say for sure). R appears to be going down.

It's really looking good for cases: bearing in mind numbers tend to increase through the week, today's 1533, although higher than yesterday, still continues the downward trend - it's still the second lowest reliable figure since 4th December.
7-day average: 1842 - DOWN 101
1/4

I'm not prepared to give my usual estimated R today, since the calculation involves an estimate of cases (as opposed to actual data) on one day over the new year, and an estimate based on an estimate is one step too far. But signs are good that it has fallen and is around 0.9.
2/4

Today's deaths (66) represents the rebound we normally see after the weekend (Tuesday's figures mostly represent Sunday deaths). So for the 3rd day running there's a decrease in the average; not a big one, but hopefully the peak has passed.
7-day average: 46.43 - DOWN 1.43
3/4

#Ceredigion has 23 new cases. Although the average drops a little, I am still a bit disappointed in this. The trends across the week that we see in larger numbers (the national figures) have lesser relevance with smaller numbers (the data are noisier).

Having said that, Wednesday has been the peak day for Ceredigion for the last 3 weeks, so hopefully that's the explanation.
7-day average: 17.43 - DOWN 0.43
4/4

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
Cases down. R down. Deaths down.
In short, today is fairly good news. The downward trend looks well established. There's still no room for wiggle though.

Today's new cases figure of 1332 is the lowest (excluding days with apparent or known reporting issues) since the end of Nov. It is in line with the trend, +possibly some settling after the new year, so there is no reason to doubt its validity.
7-day average: 1943 - DOWN 105
(table from PHW web site)
1/3

R (estimate): 0.94 - DOWN 0.025
This takes R back to where it was for most of week 1 2021. R falling is excellent; it means cases are falling faster. But whilst it is still close to 1, we can't let up our guard, especially as we know the new variant could push it up again.

Test positivity is 17.6% - still fairly low compared with recent weeks (that's a good sign too).
2/3

There were 16 deaths reported today. This is improbably low, and I expect a rebound tomorrow and/or Thursday, as we saw last week.
7-day average: 47.86 - DOWN 0.14

#Ceredigion has 17 new cases, which takes the county's average up a little, and puts the estimated (very approximate) R just a fraction over 1 (the only bad news of the day - at least, in what I'm reporting on).
7-day average: 17.86 - UP 0.86
3/3

I currently have variables in my algorithmic trading program named "cum_return" short for "cumulative return". This brings me pleasure.

LETTER – Wales has twice the GDP of 130 indepedent nations | County Times https://www.countytimes.co.uk/news/18997311.letter---wales-twice-gdp-130-indepedent-nations/

#GaiaAmByth
More stunning scenery from #Cymru
Photo credit: @ddraigcariad

https://toot.wales/media/nh12W7OxRAQy-8iGHok

https://toot.wales/media/vQC5SrG4Xe6270GoYbk

https://toot.wales/media/6kHg3zXFP_4ETDt3i9M

Hitachi pulls plug on Wylfa nuclear power project - Nation.Cymru https://nation.cymru/news/hitachi-pulls-plug-on-wylfa-nuclear-power-project/

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
Cases edge down again, R unchanged. Deaths slightly down.
Mostly good news, but R still uncomfortably close to 1.

There were 1793 new cases reported today; down 105 on last Monday, so the averages head in the right direction.
7-day average: 2048 - DOWN 15

R (estimate): 0.975 - UNCHANGED
As yesterday, the percentage of tests with a positive result is again lower today (16.5%) than we've been used to seeing for the last month or so, which is a very good sign.
1/2

There were 17 deaths reported. Although Monday nearly always sees lower figures than later in the week, this is down on last Monday (by 8).
7-day average: 48.0 - DOWN 1.14

Ceredigion has 15 new cases (the lowest in Cymru today). That's the same as last Monday, so the average remains unchanged. The extremely approximate estimated R is at a nice round 0.875 (slightly down).
7-day average: 17.0 - UNCHANGED.
2/2

Don't Toss It, Fix It! Europe Is Guaranteeing Citizens the "Right to Repair"
https://reasonstobecheerful.world/europe-guarantee-right-to-repair-ifixit/

(And this is my first of what I am sure will be dozens of moments this year where I go "yay" and then remember I was involuntarily stripped of EU citizenship and this doesn't apply to me or my kin at all)