Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

R (estimate): 0.85 - DOWN 0.04
That's again excellent, as it suggests the fall in cases is accelerating. The number of tests coming back positive is also amongst the lowest of the last month, at 16.9%

There were 54 deaths (same as yesterday). We've seen nothing more than a slight fall over the past few days, but hopefully that fall will accelerate as the lower case numbers eventually translate to fewer deaths.
7-day average: 44.86 - DOWN 0.29
2/3

#Ceredigion has 26 new cases. This is up. The (very estimated) R for the county hovers just above 1.
7-day average: 17.71 - UP 0.86
Watch https://portalcovidcymru.co.uk/map.html for where in the county these cases are (at present, still showing yesterday's data).
3/3

This isn't really 2021, is it? Feels like we've just discovered the 13th month of 2020.

Access to credit doesn't necessarily lead to the adoption of climate change adaptation.

New #metaanalysis by #DEval and #IEU-#GreenClimateFund: "Access to #credit as a determinant of autonomous #adaptation to #climatechange: A meta-analysis of the evidence in low- and middle-income countries“. DEval #DiscussionPaper 1/2021

Press release
https://www.deval.org/en/pressemeldung-detail/does-access-to-credit-lead-to-the-adoption-of-climate-change-adaptation-not-necessarily-says-ieu-and-deval-report.html

Full report
https://www.deval.org/files/content/Dateien/Evaluierung/Discussion%20Paper/2021/DEval_Discussion_Paper_1_2021_Access_to_credit_climate_change.pdf

#ClimateChangeAdaptation #GCF #InternationalDevelopment
#DevelopingCountries #GlobalDevelopment

Nowhere near enough attention has been paid to how many people Googled "flag of Georgia" to show their republican support for the state of Georgian senate race, but turned up with the nation of Georgia flag instead. I saw at least three.

"As many scientists and doctors have pointed out, vaccination can be only part of the answer."

What's as scary as Covid? The fact our leaders still have no plan to control it https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jan/13/scary-covid-leaders-no-plan-to-control-pandemic-cycle?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

@anniemo71 "Documents seen by the Guardian also revealed that the NHS is asking care homes to start accepting Covid patients directly from hospitals and without a recent negative test, as long as they have been in isolation for 14 days and have shown no new symptoms."

This is a reeeeely bad idea, although I appreciate that it's a desperate situation.

Call to end racial discrimination following death of man after being in police custody. https://nation.cymru/news/call-to-end-racial-discrimination-following-death-of-man-after-being-in-police-custody/

Moving Six Nations to paywall TV 'cruel' during pandemic, opposition parties say. https://nation.cymru/news/moving-six-nations-to-paywall-tv-cruel-during-pandemic-opposition-parties-say/

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines: Wednesday 13th January
Cases still trending down. Deaths showing signs that they're passed the peak (though it's too early to say for sure). R appears to be going down.

It's really looking good for cases: bearing in mind numbers tend to increase through the week, today's 1533, although higher than yesterday, still continues the downward trend - it's still the second lowest reliable figure since 4th December.
7-day average: 1842 - DOWN 101
1/4

I'm not prepared to give my usual estimated R today, since the calculation involves an estimate of cases (as opposed to actual data) on one day over the new year, and an estimate based on an estimate is one step too far. But signs are good that it has fallen and is around 0.9.
2/4

Today's deaths (66) represents the rebound we normally see after the weekend (Tuesday's figures mostly represent Sunday deaths). So for the 3rd day running there's a decrease in the average; not a big one, but hopefully the peak has passed.
7-day average: 46.43 - DOWN 1.43
3/4

#Ceredigion has 23 new cases. Although the average drops a little, I am still a bit disappointed in this. The trends across the week that we see in larger numbers (the national figures) have lesser relevance with smaller numbers (the data are noisier).

Having said that, Wednesday has been the peak day for Ceredigion for the last 3 weeks, so hopefully that's the explanation.
7-day average: 17.43 - DOWN 0.43
4/4