Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

I shared this in a reply recently but thought the information and maps might be neat on my main timeline...

Here is one of my favorite maps showing water ways (attached), the coloring is significant.

Each unique color represents a watershed, that is each color all drains out in the same direction and to the same point, ultimately draining to a single outlet into an ocean. You can always get from any point in the same color to any other point.

WRT a waterway which connects from ocean to ocean that would occur anytime there is a point that sits between two colors, almost always a lake, that drains off into each color in different directions. These lakes are special in the sense that they are the relatively rare waterways that belong to two or more watersheds.

#Nature #Rivers #water #watersheds #science @Science

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
Cases still falling. R up a little. Positivity low. Deaths falling slowly. Steady progress.

There were 230 cases reported today. This is excellent for a Friday; in recent weeks (last week excepted), either Friday or Saturday have had the week's highest figure.
7-day average: 216 - DOWN 11
This is the lowest average since 19th September.

Positivity is at its second lowest post-peak, at 4.4 (lowest was last Saturday, 4.1).
1/3

R (estimate 1 - publication date data): 0.84 - UP 0.02
R (estimate 2 - sample date data): 0.87 - UP 0.02

This is still lower than what we were seeing up to a week ago, so is not of great concern yet. But it's certainly something we need to watch.

There were 12 deaths.
7-day average: 11.14 - DOWN 0.57
This is the lowest average since 24th October.

2/3

Ceredigion has one case reported. That case was in Llambed & Llanfihangel Ystrad.
See https://portalcovidcymru.co.uk/map.html - mid Wales looking generally healthier on that map today.

7-day average: 2.14 - DOWN 0.43
Notable others:
2: Torfaen, Mynwy, Blaenau Gwent
3: Penfro

3/3

Rachel Clarke
@doctor_oxford
2h
My piece on the absolute hypocrisy of this government’s 1% pay ‘rise’ for NHS staff. Nearly 1000 health and care staff have lost their lives to Covid. Anger doesn’t come close. 😔

https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/mar/05/boris-johnson-clap-patients-pay-offer?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other&__twitter_impression=true

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
It's a slightly disappointing set of results today. The fall continues, but not as fast as recent days. R is up. Positivity is the best news - it is down.
Reported deaths do not correspond with the total.

There were 267 cases reported today. Whilst that continues the downward trend, the last 2 days have seen a much slower rate of fall than the previous 5.
7-day average: 227 - DOWN 7

1/5

Seven of yesterday's case figures were from late January. It's only natural therefore to wonder if there might be a more general issue with reporting at the moment. There's no clear sign of this, but recent patterns are odd. I don't have today's by-sample-date figures yet.

R (estimate 1 - publication date data): 0.82 - UP 0.01
R (estimate 2 - sample date data): 0.85 - UP 0.01

These are just small rises, but just 3 days ago estimate 1 was down at 0.75.

2/5

Positivity brings us good news today. At 5.0%, it's the second lowest post-peak recorded.

PHW reports 13 deaths, however gives a total number of deaths that is only 10 greater than yesterday.
LloydCymru tells me this is because Hywel Dda has removed 3 because of data reconciliation. My spreadsheet thus shows 10, and for internal consistency I'm going with that.

7-day average: 11.71 - DOWN 1.57

This is the lowest 7-day rolling average since the week centred on 24th October.
3/5

Why are Brits the fattest in #WesternEurope? - #BBC #Food

https://www.bbc.co.uk/food/articles/britain_diet

#UK #Health #Obesity

"He who fights with monsters should look to it that he himself does not become a monster. And if you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss also gazes into you."

-- Friedrich Nietzsche

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
A new record low in cases, just 1 death, R still low. Ceredigion records zero cases.

170 cases is the lowest single day figure since 17th September. The 7-day average is at its lowest since 19th September.
7-day average: 238

Positivity is always high on a Tuesday (it's mostly weekend sample results, so fewer routine tests, so more likely to be positive). Given that, 6.1% is significantly lower than last Tuesday's 8.6%,...
1/5

... which was up to now the lowest post-peak Tuesday figure.

R (estimate 1 - publication date data): 0.76 - UP 0.01
R (estimate 2 - sample date data): 0.84 - DOWN 0.01

With estimate 2 necessarily lagging by a few days, these figures seem now to be converging on a new normal, after a while in the 0.9-1.0 area.

An R of 0.76 represents a time to half of cases of around 10 days. 0.8 is 12 days and 0.84 is 16 days.

2/5

There was just 1 death recorded. Although I always add the caveat on a Monday and Tuesday that this reflects weekend reporting (which is always lower), this is still remarkable; the last time a 1 was recorded in figures I'd consider not suspicious was 19th October.
7-day average: 13.43 - DOWN 0.43
This is still slightly higher than it was 6 days ago though. There was either (probably) a data blip, or (less likely, I suspect) a genuine issue (eg a more deadly strain gaining ground?).
3/5

#Ceredigion recorded zero cases for the 4th time in 5 weeks, and the second time within a week.
7-day average: 2.0 - DOWN 0.43
Other notable counties:
Conwy (1), Bro Morgannwg (1), Dinbych (3), Môn (3)
4/5