When will 1.5 °C #globalwarming be exceeded?
We need to filter out short-term variability, hence use a trend line.
At the current rate we'll exceed 1.5 °C between the years 2035 and 2040 (using 20-year versus 50-year linear trend lines). Using NASA Gistemp data.
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@rahmstorf
Then how do people get the idea a +4°C world is unlikely? Just read this again in Der Spiegel today...
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