@whirli Not exactly the numbers im seeing.. biden is currently at 224, so needs 42 to win. Of the states not called in that 224 that are leaning biden we have:

WI: 10
MI: 16
NV: 6
AZ: 11

That gives us 224+43 = 267

So at least according to politico even if he wins every state he is leading on, which are all marginal, he still wont win. Meanwhile the other states trump has a big lead in and there is a greater chance he will steal one from Biden than the other way around given the leads...

So certainly leaning trump, but also close and could go either way for sure.