#RegretRate for various surgeries:
* Knee surgery: 22% total regret, 2.9% even without complications http://doi.org/10.1186/s12891-020-3041-y
* Back surgery: 21% in older adults http://doi.org/10.1097/BRS.0000000000004287
* Regret of having children: varies by study, but usually in the 10-20% range http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0254163
* Breast reconstruction after a mastectomy: 19.5% moderate to strong regret http://doi.org/10.1080/14768320601124899
* #GenderAffirmationSurgery: < 1% http://doi.org/10.1097/GOX.0000000000003477
Also in a Dutch study 98% of those who received gender affirmative care as kids continued to use hormones as adults: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00254-1
98%
Now, there are a ton of caveats on this sort of thing. We gatekeep the hell out of these procedures, but this indicates to me that our _false positive_ rate for treatment and for these procedures is extraordinarily low. As it should be, but that does raise questions for me about our _false negative_ rate.
This #trans moral panic is just that: a panic
Now let's compare with the kinds of things we've granted cis people.
* Using hormones to limit the adult height of tall girls: 42.1% regret rate https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2005.03.016
* Elective plastic surgery in adolescence, varies by procedure but around 10% seems common: https://www.proquest.com/openview/314adf870133de200a48aafd79a84c05/1?pq-origsite=gscholar&cbl=39134
This isn't even getting into the coercive surgical assignment that happens with intersex people/those with various DSDs.
@hrefna Hell, as a PhilosophyTube episode noted, *knee surgery* is some 10%, and you don't need a counselor before you decide to have it.
