so far this is something not to be taken lightly, we might be expecting heavier to bear in the coming weeks so keep updated although we can find relief knowing that weather is highly nonlinear, things may turn out different than what's predicted if we are to cross our fingers for some luck
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El Niño (Niño-3.4 greater than 1.5 °C) is about 4 in 10
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https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/april-2023-enso-update-el-ni%C3%B1o-watch