@2ck Metaculus says 50% within the year, and 25% within January. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8898/russian-invasion-of-ukraine-before-2023/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9462/will-russia-invade-ukraine-this-month/
@2ck Metaculus says 50% within the year, and 25% within January. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8898/russian-invasion-of-ukraine-before-2023/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9462/will-russia-invade-ukraine-this-month/