RT @jburnmurdoch
Now some supplementary analysis, thanks to suggestions from @imartincorena@twitter.com, @hancocktom@twitter.com, @mrsmmartin@twitter.com, @neilcharles_uk@twitter.com.

UK is in real trouble here.

On current trends, UK could hit Italy’s death count in ~9 days. Italy locked down 10 days ago. UK is already behind that schedule.