@ottocrat Hmm. I think I could make that add up. If you assume *some* in the West want a clear justification for getting involved, but the NATO centre of gravity is still "no way, not touching that", you have the conditions for an event manufactured (by someone) to escalate and drag NATO in, and NATO noping out of it, which basically matches those two statements.

It requires some contortions, but not many, when Zelenskyy is insisting the Polish strike came from Russia and the NATO view appears to have settled on an unfortunate accident from Ukraine.

Anyway, buckle up. I reckon this event will breed some pretty wild conspiracy theories. This is just the start.