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The Russians are now complaining that the Ukrainians were given the minefield and defence layout data for the southern bank of the Dnepr by Russian soldiers who were captured.
The drone electronics boats are the result of the attack on the southern side of the Antonovski bridge. That was made possible by a transportable jammer that kept Russia from using its drones - but is revealed has having been hit when they used an Iskander to take it out over three months ago. Realising that fixed EW was always going to be a problem crossing, the Ukrainians developed the fast moving EW drone boats to prevent them from being hit but provide continuous support. Without them it was feared the move on the occupied bank would be too difficult to sustain with Russian FPV drones everywhere.
Ukraine has also deployed its first 30km range FPV superior to the recent 22km ranged one deployed recently. This was developed quickly and deployed specifically for this operation to provide deeper support.
So clearly we’re now seeing the Ukrainians are making this a much more serious permanent landing, and seem to have intentions of holding ground and if possible expanding what they’ve taken as resources allow.
The question is what will the Russians do about it? They have the resources to push the offensive move back if they can deploy the necessary forces. However that’s not how their command works. The local commander will be expected to contain it with the resources he has. Is he is competent and capable enough and does he have willing manpower?
We’ll find out soon enough. The key here is what HQ thinks of the threat. If the high command doesn’t really see a threat they’ll do nothing. Just contain it and kill it over time will be their policy. Not so sure it will work that way in practice! The question is how much and how far have the Ukrainians managed to get across? And how long before stopping them is impossible?
I can’t wait to find out. A breakout here would be remarkable and dangerous for the Russians!
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦!
