The war could continue for a long time—Russians simply won't sign any agreements with Kyiv and the coalition of allies — Chief of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine Kyrylo Budanov in a comment to NV.
In his opinion, it will be a chaotic shelling of Ukraine, but without major hostilities.
According to Budanov, Russia's ability to conduct high-intensity combat operations will depend on:
🔺systemic changes in the Russian economy;
🔺external supply of military-technical goods;
🔺the growth of war fatigue in society.
Currently, Russia is still economically stable, but war fatigue is growing among Russians, and the population, particularly the male population, is rapidly decreasing.
"There is hope that 2025 will be a turning point regarding internal systemic destructive changes and processes in the Russian state, society, and economy.
But this is not a forecast, but an expectation. As of now, based on the available factors, the likelihood of this happening exists," Budanov said.