If the war in Ukraine is frozen, Russia will have 6 years to prepare its troops for a direct conflict with NATO. One likely reason could be a Russian attack on the Baltic countries.

The German Society for Foreign Policy (DGAP) conducted its study of Russia's military potential. This potential is higher than it appears now even after almost two years of war in Ukraine. The ground forces suffered the greatest losses in manpower and equipment.

Experts believe Moscow will quickly build up its military capabilities, and NATO countries have between 5 and 9 years to do the same build-up to prevent conflict.