TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@social.cleverlibre.org
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 71 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
Ukraine has this drone thing perfected.
Moscow taking some hits
The Russian fools seem to think NATO is a paper tiger.
STRATEGY UPDATE
Russia is continuing to pour Z units into the Kupyansk area and they are making gains, though small and incremental.
General Syrsky thought it sufficiently important to spend most of his time there in recent days. Ukrainian reinforcements have been and continue to be deployed. Now this isn’t as bad as it sounds. For one the Russians seem to have made a much wider decision in my opinion. They want the Luhansk and Donetsk areas and that’s where they have placed almost all of what matters that’s left.
North and south of Bakhmut the Ukrainians seem to have decided they’ve done enough - I could be wrong of course, but I have a feeling that their mission now is to pin the Russians down and go on the defensive. They know Russia can’t admit or afford to loose Bakhmut politically, so Ukraine is well aware it can keep Russians engaged here indefinitely.
Ukraine has made no offensive moves to push the matter in days. That’s got to be important. The Bakhmut front was one of the possible major advance targets but I think it’s now been ruled out.
The real advances and the biggest options are the twin tracks of Robotnye and Zvitove. Ukraine has deployed the 87th Airborne - a fully trained professional NATO standard equipped elite unit of 2,000+ men. These are the guys with the Challenger-2’s and the Marders & Strykers. These are Ukraine’s Storm
Troopers and they’re being used now because they can make a difference. They, I think, are the hammer that cracks the Russian defences at Robotnye and opens up that major advance line.
On the other end is the 47th and the 9th and they are battle hardened and effective.
Ukraine has the initiative in the south and the Russians know it.
Added to that is the Kherson front. This is the fox in the hen house. It’s totally screwed up the Russian response and has deeply undermined the whole southern front.
Forget the tactics for a moment. This is what I think has really happened on both sides.
RUSSIA: I think Russia has more or less given up in its own mind the whole of the south. They accept it will be lost but they won’t just abandon it. They’ll make Ukraine pay for it as much as they can.
What Russia is doing is keeping its best forces on the Eastern front area and they’ll fight hard to keep what they have and even expand it. But I do think in the end, they know Zaporhizia and Kherson are lost.
UKRAINE:
I think Ukraine has decided it can’t push any more at Bakhmut. It might make some attempts but they’ll fight the Russians tooth and nail to hold what they have taken just to keep them there.
They’re seeing their strategy come to fruition in the south and the Russians are unable to stop them despite trying. It’s just become impossible for Russian artillery and logistics to provide the backup Russian military operations require. Ukraine can smell victory here and the Russians there know it too. The south is Russia’s sacrifice to sustain the Eastern front. They just don’t want it to look like one.
The big question is Crimea. Breaking into the peninsula could be a miserable battle. Clearing Russians out of it just as much so. Neither side has worked out how it will go yet.
My reason for why I think the Russians at the top have let the south go in their minds: if it really was what they wanted to keep they would have thrown everything at it. Instead they tinker around in the east doing nothing much but with large enough forces they know they’re going to be a nightmare to get rid of. If it can even be done.
They’re letting the south collapse slowly as a means of slowing the Ukrainians down and prolonging the war past the Russian and US elections, in March and November next year.
Putin wants no doubt about his result - it’ll be faked but he wants a real majority. And he wants Trump back in office to end aid to Ukraine. He thinks in the end he’ll walk away with enough to survive. I think he’s wrong ultimately, but it’s clear to see why he thinks it might work.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦!
Russia is preparing for a long major war. Putting conscription regulations in place.
TheOldGuy
boosted
The CDC's data on #COVID19 in wastewater is more complete than Biobot's, but whereas Biobot shows overall level, the CDC's data shows the ratio of testing sites increasing or declining. The CDC data demonstrates the number of sites with COVID increases has steadily increased for almost three months, and that growth is now greater than at any point since last year.
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#wastewater-surveillance
Here in Missouri it's okay to self prescribe. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-31986-0_39
As Dead Dolphins Wash Ashore, Ukraine Builds a Case of Ecocide Against Russia
The animals are dying in droves in the Black Sea, and Ukrainian officials are documenting the deaths, hoping to prosecute Russia for the war’s ecological toll.
The victim was found along a stretch of beach near the port city of Odesa in southern Ukraine early this summer, cause of death unknown.
As a light rain fell in the open field where the necropsy would take place, law enforcement officials, a representative of the local prosecutors’ office and civilian witnesses gathered to watch.
On the beach was a harbor porpoise. They are washing up dead in droves on the shores of the Black Sea.
“Dolphins are not only cute creatures,” Pawel Goldin, 44, a doctor in zoology who specializes in marine mammal populations at the Ukrainian Scientific Center of Ecology of the Sea, said before the necropsy. “They are keystone creatures for the marine ecosystem. If dolphins are in a bad condition, then the entire ecosystem will be in a bad condition.”
And the dolphins in the Black Sea are in trouble.
Ukrainian officials say their plight speaks to the savage toll that Russia’s war is taking on marine life and the environment more broadly — something they want to document for prosecution.
Currently, four specific acts — genocide, crimes against humanity, aggression and war crimes — are recognized as international crimes. Ukraine would like to add a fifth — ecocide — and it is setting out to build its case against Russia. The autopsy of the porpoise was part of that effort.
“We right now are developing the strategy for the prosecution of environmental war crimes and ecocide,” said Maksym Popov, an adviser to the Prosecutor General of Ukraine, who is specifically focused on environmental issues. “It’s not established yet.”
While people often refer to porpoises and dolphins interchangeably, they are distinct creatures that are both endangered.
Read the whole article
🇺🇦 @GalaxyCurse 🇺🇦
BOBO the clown is so low nothing can embarrass her except, possibly, the fact that she was once a prostitute.
https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/this-is-just-embarrassing-for-lauren-boebert/51617/
DeJoy is out to kill the Post Office so his businesses can take over
https://truthout.org/articles/dejoys-10-year-plan-could-gut-usps-he-doesnt-want-you-to-know-the-details/
They really don't care if a few of their followers get killed by police, or National Guard if the actually succeed in fomenting an insurrection
https://www.jefftiedrich.com/p/reckless-rhetoric-is-going-to-get?utm_medium=email
Good old Uncle HIMARS
Uncle Himars visited the Russian training ground in the temporarily occupied territory. The results of the visit can be seen in the video. The Defense Forces are practicing katsapas, which was reported by Ukrainians from the temporarily occupied areas.
Most of the women who have left Ukraine are from Kyiv and Kharkiv, according to Oleksiy Poznyak, Head of the Migration Research Sector at the Ptukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies. He noted that they are mostly young and middle-aged women, and the share of those with children among them is higher than among those who stayed in Ukraine. He also emphasized the importance of keeping the population of Ukraine at least 30 million in order to rebuild the country after the war. Subscribe to us for more news.
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 71 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
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