TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@social.cleverlibre.org
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 71 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
Russia is behind the Sandworm hacker group.
The leader of Spain's 3rd largest party has been shot in the face.https://t.me/visegrad24official/2289
This man attempts to educate college students about the views of HAMAS
https://t.me/visegrad24official/2279
Antisemitism everywhere
https://t.me/visegrad24official/2275
Good morning Resisters everywhere.
It's a cold windy morning and will get colder as the day progresses.
A discussion of the armaments Ukraine will need for the F-16s.
https://mil.in.ua/en/articles/weapons-for-f-16-what-bombs-and-missiles-ukraine-will-need/
Russia wants to buy back helicopter engines it sold previously.
Losing a lot of helicopters does that.
https://mil.in.ua/en/news/russia-buys-back-helicopter-engines-from-partner-countries/
💥 November 8, 2023 at 08:40 a.m. due to a car explosion, the so-called deputy of the so-called "Supreme Soviet of the LPR" - Filipponenko Mikhail Yuryevich was eliminated.
☑️ He was involved in the organization of torture camps in the occupied territories of Luhansk region, where prisoners of war and civilian hostages were subjected to inhumane torture. Filiponenko himself personally brutally tortured people.
🫡 War criminal lived at 48 Parashutna Street, Luhansk.
🤝 The special operation for his liquidation was implemented together with representatives of the resistance movement.
❗️ The Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine warns: all addresses of traitors and places of their service to terrorist Russia in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine are known!
☝️ The GUR of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine states that all war criminals and collaborators will receive a fair retribution!
🦉 The hunt continues! Glory to Ukraine!
- GUR
An Israeli - American decision was made to destroy Hezbollah.
The arrival of the American Naval Forces reminds me of what the United States did before its invasion of Iraq in 2003, especially after the Israeli Defense Minister announced his intention to eliminate the existential threat in the north and south of Israel, therefore 99% we will go to war.
The situation in Lebanon will change, and the war will not stop until resolutions 1559 and 1701 are implemented, the political system (in Lebanon) will change as the balance of power changes in the region.
Hezbollah is aware of this, and therefore it did not do so (start a war) and will not enter a war voluntarily, knowing that the decision is neither in its hands nor in the hands of Iran.
In the United States it is said that US President Joe Biden aims to kill Hassan Nasrallah, similar to what happened to bin Laden who was killed by Barack Obama and Qassem Soleimani who was killed by Donald Trump.
This is one of the strongest indications that the decision to go to war has already been made, let's not forget that Hezbollah, according to the US, is a terrorist organization.
This US naval mobilization is unprecedented and is just as vulnerable as the forces mobilized for the invasion of Iraq.
The mobilization of these forces is not a deterrent need, the US has 11 aircraft carriers deployed around the world, which gives it the ability to intervene in any area they want in no more than three hours, and these aircraft carriers are the secret of the power of the United States.
My little comment
Nasrallah knows that he is next in line after Gaza or while the IDF is attacking in the south, his situation in Lebanon is particularly bad at the political level, a regional war will completely change all the balances of power in the region, he is well aware of this, and this is the big question, will he sacrifice his organization and Lebanon?
(Abu Saleh)
I was totally wrong about Putin - former president of the Czech Republic Zeman
The former president of the Czech Republic, Milos Zeman, called his main failure during all ten years as the head of state the fact that he was wrong about Vladimir Putin.
This is reported by Vinegret.cz with reference to Zeman's statement on the Nova TV channel.
"My biggest failure is that I was totally wrong about Vladimir Putin, because only a stupid person could make such a tragic mistake as the invasion of Ukraine," Zeman said.
According to him, the invasion caused damage not only to Ukraine, but also to Russia, and it is colossal.
"Few people realize, but Putin is a person who harmed his own country," said the former president of the Czech Republic.
Zeman emphasized that he always tried to defend national interests, "whether I was successful or not, let others judge." But, the politician added, "no one can blame me for condescending to someone."
From "The Analyst"
STATE OF PLAY FOR RUSSIA
The Russian military has so many problems it’s hard to imagine sometimes how it continues to function. Fear generated by propaganda and harsh discipline, coupled to low education standards maintain a level of control that would fail miserably anywhere else. An educated force would have better comprehension of its own situation - Russian troops are lucky if they even know exactly where they are. Recent interviews published from surrendered troops show yet again the meat wave tactics, but worse still their failure and consequences.
One man described how they were told there were no minefields and watched as half his unit were blown up on mines. They injured tried to crawl back, and rather than deal with it the Russian commanders ordered
mortars fired to kill the remainder as there was no medical care. This, yet another example of the value of life in Russian military service.
Overall then, what does Russia have for the future on the ground?
It seems to be be continuing its ‘wide war’ strategy of piercing front line areas to see how much of a reaction the attacks raise from Ukraine. They’re intended to keep Ukraine on its toes but also ensure that they might find a weak spot they could exploit. The question that needs answering is why bother if you don’t have the resources to exploit such a strategy?
The huge amounts of manpower it continues to suck in, the source of which is almost as morally reprehensible as the rest of their governments policies - mental hospitals, vagrants, the unemployed, anyone with a new passport or recent naturalisation, those with right to reside for work, foreign nationals on work visas, ethnic minorities, discharged medical patients, debtors, mortgage defaulters, social security recipients. Basically anyone and everyone who is vulnerable and has no means of resistance, is being dragged in through Russia’s digital mobilisation plan. This is approved government policy, documented and enforced.
So with this endless source of manpower which remains largely untrained and under equipped let alone fed or even trusted, how will Russia launch any meaningful offensive?
Some argue that Avdivka was the last realistic throw of the dice, they just don’t have the resources to carry it through but haven’t yet realised it - that same old command structure box. ‘There’s your kit, we’ve given you an extra large box this time’, and you use it until it’s gone. It’s not quite gone yet but it’s getting there. It was an impressive show of strength and highly risky given the pressure elsewhere. Yet when you think how much was truly involved it’s nothing like the scale of anything from Russia’s past. It has the feeling of an operation that was scraped together, months of preparations and equipment had to be saved up to get it underway. That they could do that tells you not to underestimate their capabilities and there many areas where we should not. But their real ability to mount an aggressive frontline campaign designed to take territory on a wider scale? Even the Russians don’t see that happening.
What they have are the territorial negotiating weapons. The drones and the missiles, the air launched glide bombs. They also have the tactical drones that are so numerous conventional warfare for both sides in fixed positions requires constant awareness and constant vigilance.
The war on the frontlines is likely to be increasingly quiet over the coming months. There will be a sore point of attritional fighting - Avdivka is most likely. But it’s the endless cruise missiles - over 870 are now believed to be stockpiled - and huge numbers of Russian assembled Iranian drones - are going to be unleashed.
Russia has spent resources mapping Ukraine’s power grid and testing out new flight paths and methods of reaching targets that are complex and difficult. They know the missile defences are vastly improved - they
also know they’re never the same radar layout twice as they must be moved to avoid becoming a target themselves. CONTINUES…
CONTINUED…
Recently a Ukrainian national and Russian sympathiser was arrested after deploying small networked cameras on lamp posts all over southern Kyiv to map the travels of military air defence equipment to send to the FSB. They will leave no stone unturned.
Russia believes that the grid and the industrial factories that produce so much of Ukraine’s war equipment are viable targets - even if much of it is highly distributed so no single point of loss proves fatal to production.
But it’s a cost effective pressure and they still think it will force negotiations in the new year. They think Ukraine knows the war is stuck. They just need to convince them. That’s Russia’s aim now. Hold the line and wait until reality sets in and the west gets bored with feeding a stalemate.
Only Ukraine can change that thinking. Politically and militarily Ukraine must survive the winter and in 2024 it must - it has to - teach Russia it’s not done yet. That alone is an expectation that will only grow and comes with its own realities. The stakes are higher now than ever. Putin knows this game. Zelensky and his people must bluff him down and outplay him to win, and win big.
With western support this can be won. All of us must make our leadership and parliamentary representatives aware it’s the least we expect. No matter how afraid the West is of the consequences of winning.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦!
Russia is actively using Deepfake.
https://t.me/WarriorsUkrainian/14162
Army of drones gives 900 to the army.
https://mil.in.ua/en/news/the-military-received-more-than-900-drones-through-the-army-of-drones-project/
Good morning Resisters everywhere. I went into town this morning for biscuits and gravy
CONTINUED: (2/2)
The Russians are now complaining that the Ukrainians were given the minefield and defence layout data for the southern bank of the Dnepr by Russian soldiers who were captured.
The drone electronics boats are the result of the attack on the southern side of the Antonovski bridge. That was made possible by a transportable jammer that kept Russia from using its drones - but is revealed has having been hit when they used an Iskander to take it out over three months ago. Realising that fixed EW was always going to be a problem crossing, the Ukrainians developed the fast moving EW drone boats to prevent them from being hit but provide continuous support. Without them it was feared the move on the occupied bank would be too difficult to sustain with Russian FPV drones everywhere.
Ukraine has also deployed its first 30km range FPV superior to the recent 22km ranged one deployed recently. This was developed quickly and deployed specifically for this operation to provide deeper support.
So clearly we’re now seeing the Ukrainians are making this a much more serious permanent landing, and seem to have intentions of holding ground and if possible expanding what they’ve taken as resources allow.
The question is what will the Russians do about it? They have the resources to push the offensive move back if they can deploy the necessary forces. However that’s not how their command works. The local commander will be expected to contain it with the resources he has. Is he is competent and capable enough and does he have willing manpower?
We’ll find out soon enough. The key here is what HQ thinks of the threat. If the high command doesn’t really see a threat they’ll do nothing. Just contain it and kill it over time will be their policy. Not so sure it will work that way in practice! The question is how much and how far have the Ukrainians managed to get across? And how long before stopping them is impossible?
I can’t wait to find out. A breakout here would be remarkable and dangerous for the Russians!
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦!
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 71 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
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