According to the most recent polls is the only candidate has any chance of beating, and Trump is the only candidate that Biden has a chance of beating. The first party to ditch their stubborn old fart will win in a landslide.

@antares Polls don’t mean much this far out, and as 2016 showed us, they can also be wrong even immediately prior an election.

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@pmonks Further, if you don't believe the polls, that is all the more reason not to believe that Biden and Trump are inevitable.

and change the course of history for the better.

@antares @pmonks Biden has actually done an amazing job. Nobody else in the Dem primary has a shot, they are basically jokes, and I think you and others are also dismissing the incumbent advantage (for name recognition if nothing else).

@mdylanbell

Then he better get out on the campaign trail and tell people about it, because if the election were held today he'd lose to Nikki Haley by a wopping 17%!

On the other hand "Generic Democrat" beats Trump by 10%

@mdylanbell Iowa Caucuses are in 11 Days. We are choosing our party candidates Right Now!

@antares right but you’re suggesting using polling data that means little other than a snapshot in time that we know isn’t accurate to the real world in November.

@antares Trump is inevitable as the GOP candidate - we don’t need polling to see how MAGA has taken over the Republican party. The only remaining question is who will be the Democratic Party’s candidate. I don’t see any strong alternatives to Biden, and it would be foolish to ignore what Biden has managed to achieve during his first term, and the inherent advantage an incumbent has.

And I say that as someone who did not vote for Biden during the 2020 primaries, and is (at best) lukewarm about his politics (though I also recognise that he has overachieved my expectations in some areas). The fundamental realisation I (and anyone with half a brain) comes to is that Biden is infinitely better than the orange fascist, and is probably the best* candidate the Dems can field against him.

*defined as “most likely to win a general”, not “I agree with 100% of their politics” (the latter being a naive delusion)

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