Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

Memories
4 years ago our NHS Choir reached the Christmas number 1

Bridge Over Troubled Water
https://youtu.be/FUh2wjySy1w

Starmer to promise to 'push as much power as possible away from Westminster' if elected. https://nation.cymru/news/starmer-to-promise-to-push-as-much-power-as-possible-away-from-westminster-if-elected/

Good news, anyone following this thread - support bubbles are defined really well for people living in Wales on this page that was published today: https://gov.wales/visiting-people-private-homes-alert-level-4

Sehenswerte #Reportage über #COVID_19 Behandlung in #Deutschland: "Die Lebensretter: Im Dauereinsatz gegen #Corona"

Interesting documentary (in #German) about #COVID19 treatment in #Germany: "The Lifesavers: In Continuous Action Against Corona"

https://www.ardmediathek.de/swr/video/betrifft/die-lebensretter-im-dauereinsatz-gegen-corona/swr-fernsehen/Y3JpZDovL3N3ci5kZS9hZXgvbzEzNjg1NTc/

Seit den ersten Krankheitsfällen im Feb. 2020 hat das #Coronavirus, das Covid-19 auslöst, das Jahr 2020 geprägt. #SWR Autor #Patrick_Hünerfeld hat von Anfang an Patient*innen sowie Ärzt*innen im Kampf gegen #COVID19de begleitet.

Today's #Covid19Cymru case figures are significantly lower than expected; that's statistically improbable, so we assume a weekend effect, or possibly reporting problems.
Note: The graph contains estimates for last Sunday and some other days, due to PHW computer issues.
7-day average: 2673 (DOWN 24)
R (estimate): 1.08 (DOWN 0.04)
Both these figures are very suspect today, although it does seem there is a downward trend in R. But we can't let up anything until it's under 1.
1/2

69 deaths today looks like backlogged data (I can't see an explanation in today's PHW statement).
It sends 7-day average up to 38.0: UP 9.86
I think there has been a large element of catching up this past week (following PHW computer upgrade) so true figure is likely lower.

#Ceredigion has 18 new cases, sending the 7-day average to 19.86 (UP 2.57), but similar caveats apply - there is catching up from PHW computer down time here. True figure is probably somewhat lower.

The musician who fell in love with Welsh bands, moved to Wales and learnt Welsh - Nation.Cymru https://nation.cymru/culture/the-musician-who-fell-in-love-with-welsh-bands-moved-to-wales-and-learnt-welsh/

#cymru #dysgucymraeg

20 million people in #Mumbai at risk due to #cyclones, #SeaLevelRise

The study found that the decadal increase in cyclone events had increased six times from two cyclones in 1970-1979 to 12 during 2010-19 that had impact along the Maharashtra coast.
It further warned that coastal cities with high population density and delicate infrastructure were left with no more than 10 years to act against the impacts of #ClimateChange.

https://m.hindustantimes.com/mumbai-news/20-million-people-in-mumbai-at-risk-due-to-cyclones-sea-level-rise-study/story-oShLJ45DEPFzLHtUdYUh6H.html

#ClimateCrisis #India

new article on #lowtech magazine that I'm sure will resonate with a lot of folks here:

'How and why I stopped buying new laptops'

https://solar.lowtechmagazine.com/2020/12/how-and-why-i-stopped-buying-new-laptops.html

#recycling #linux #thinkpad #laptop

Today's #Covid19Cymru figures are very much following the expected trend.
Cases are over 3000 for the first time (I exclude the day with backlogged data, which I smoothed out in my charts), at 3065.
The 7-day average is now 2697 - UP 82.
My estimate of R is now 1.12, DOWN 0.10
Hopefully this is going to turn into a trend - it looks like it might, on the graph.
Because I have used estimates to fill in the gaps caused by late data reporting, the 7-day average and my estimate of R may be incorrect.

'Enforcement powers will be used' - English police warn Welsh against travel into low-Covid area - Nation.Cymru https://nation.cymru/news/enforcement-powers-will-be-used-english-police-warn-welsh-against-travel-into-low-covid-area/

#Windfarms in #GreatBritain break record for clean power #generation | #WindPower | The Guardian

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/19/windfarms-in-great-britain-break-record-for-clear-power-generation

#Environment #Renewables #RenewableEnergy #UK

Chief Medical Officer Statement on Amendments to Health Protection Regulation (December 2020) | GOV.WALES
Covid 19 WALES

"I therefore agree that Wales needs to strengthen current restrictions and I support a move to level 4 arrangements as soon as is practicably possible and by 25th of December at the latest."

https://gov.wales/chief-medical-officer-statement-amendments-health-protection-regulation-december-2020

The public banking movement, and the passage of the Public Banking Act in California, gets a shoutout in Project Censored's list of under-reported stories in 2020:

https://www.projectcensored.org/8-the-public-banking-revolution/

As well it should -- public banking deserves more attention within progressive movements across the country, along with other efforts to strengthen public ownership (e.g., municipal ISPs, utilities).

The full top 25 is here:
https://www.projectcensored.org/category/the-top-25-censored-stories-of-2019-2020/

All of Wales is currently in Alert Level 3 but.........

"Alert level 4 restrictions will apply across Wales from 6pm on 25 December with some modifications for Christmas." 👇🏼

Alert level 4: frequently asked questions | GOV.WALES https://gov.wales/alert-level-4-frequently-asked-questions

#Covid19Cymru deaths are going up, and have been for about 10 days.
Prediction time: deaths will continue to rise for about a month.
Why? Deaths lag cases by ~16 days. Cases lag infections by ~5 days.
Next lockdown in 9 days & cases will continue up until then
9+5+16=30 days.

From the point of view of hospital admissions, these will peak around a week before deaths, so around 10th January. That's a frightening thought for our health service.