Ian Kenway @iankenway@social.cleverlibre.org

I'm not going to release any averages for today's #Covid19Cymru, because last Saturday and Sunday were combined into one single release of data. So although I divided the total in half, and spread between the days, that probably doesn't reflect what would have happened.
We know Saturdays have often been very high compared to Sundays. So, although today's 2373 cases is relatively high compared to recent days - and I'm a little uncomfortable with it, it's lower than yesterday.
1/3

All graphs are from yesterday.

For the same reason, I won't be giving an estimate of R (it's based on 7-day averages). It's been 0.94 for the past 4 days. We will know tomorrow if that has changed.
Amongst this, there is though a positive indicator. Positivity is 19.5%, and that's lower than since 27/12.

2/3

There were 62 new deaths. Again averages are fairly meaningless - though this is still frighteningly high - and, as I keep pointing out - predicted, and an inevitable consequence of allowing cases to rise so high in mid December.

#Ceredigion has 18 new cases, which seems in line with what we've been seeing for over a month. But again, I won't be reporting on the average until tomorrow.
3/3

Tributes pour in for councillor who died from Covid - Nation.Cymru https://nation.cymru/news/tributes-pour-in-for-councillor-who-died-from-covid/
Kevin, 63, said then: “I can’t express it enough, be sensible and think about what you’re doing. Every bed in here is full, they can’t cope with any more. For the sake of a day, one night out, a Christmas dinner or a party, it’s just not worth it. It’s really not worth it.”

George Monbiot
The Media Created a Monster
https://youtu.be/PgrJbPkS6JE

I ran infrastructure, and security at Pebble and was unquestionably the loudest voice for privacy.

But then we got acquired by Fitbit. I realized I could not protect user data anymore. I quit.

Now that data is owned by Google.

Today's #Covid19Cymru headlines:
Cases higher, but average still down.
R stable at 0.94
Deaths still high.

Friday tends to see the highest number of cases. It was the same last Friday (New Year's Day), and although we might be suspicious of New Year data, it's something we observed before Christmas too.
So 2487 new cases should not be a surprise.
7-day average: 2060 - DOWN 30

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R (estimate): 0.94
The fact that R has remained unchanged for 4 days (±0.005) suggests the data we've been getting are good. A smooth change would be equally encouraging, and it would be better still to see this number decreasing. But most important is that it is below 1.

There were 56 deaths recorded. That's high, but again a little lower than last Friday. Sadly this is the inevitable consequence of allowing cases to get so high in mid December.
7-day average: 41.86 - DOWN 2.0

2/3

There were 20 new cases reported for #Ceredigion. That's also a decrease on last Friday, so the average comes down. Although the lowest average for a week, we seem to be unable to escape the high teens-low 20, where we've been since late Nov.
7-day average: 17.57 - DOWN 1.86

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New interactive map shows the number of Covid-19 deaths in Wales by area - Nation.Cymru https://nation.cymru/news/new-interactive-map-shows-the-number-of-covid-19-deaths-in-wales-by-area/

Goooooddddd schmorning!!!! What’s up fednet