Less uncertainty about uncertainty... Maybe?
When people see there’s a lot of uncertainty around science, how do people take it? Does it inspire trust, or the reverse?
There's some new evidence, so I've dug into it, & the previous evidence about a typology of uncertainties.
Plus Medicine in the Media training for journalists is back!, minimizing bias in animal studies, & more:
https://hildabastian.substack.com/p/less-uncertainty-about-uncertainty
long winded opinion
@hildabast very interesting read. One thing I've noticed, especially in the pandemic, is that many tend to rely on default reasoning. They have a hypothesis/view that wins by default when there is only weak evidence available and then it becomes a game of "is the evidence strong enough to overturn the default?" when new evidence comes in. Could forcing people to be explicit about this default reasoning be a way forward?
