RLL does a really good job of presenting a genuinely good visualization of Zeihan's interpretation of Russian geopolitics and offensive/defensive strategies in the west, and then points out the giant flaw in Zeihan's theory -- Russia and China aren't good enough allies to consider the eastern front secure.
@7 Stalin and Churchill would like a word
@7 how do you think the rest of the global south would react to China placing such pressure on Russia?
@7 no, genuine question, how do you think the global south would react?
@7 not sure on the timeline of the *googles CSTO* thing, Russo-Sino tensions being what they are, don't you think the calculus has changed post-SMO/Slavic Tango?
Or at least, that's what I think because nations, like people, are prone to falling back on old patterns.
@7 I don't see why China would come for the border stans when *see post above*
To my chagrin and probably yours, none of the countries that have the semiparasitic relationship with the US actually want out of it -- even if their people voice the desire to be out of it. Not in the current geopolitical climate. Germany, Germany has done more to escape parasitic relationships than anyone else, for better or for worse; you don't see any states or banks making the same hard decisions. Even Pakistan is pussying out.
@7 I don't see your reasoning
nothing has really changed post-SMO, the post-Cold War world works as it is and countries such as India, Turkey, Suadia Arabia etc. are just gonna sit quietly while the Chinese gobble up the 'stans because they support Russia in their war in Ukraine? Why? because Chinese people don't like Russians?
I see why the US might like such a turn of events but it appears to assign no sense of agency to anyone other than China who want to ditch Eurasian integration because the stans are tasty?
I think most people pushing for a multi-polar world seems to be more of a return to form for human kind, particularly when the only people who lose are neocons, there's no reason why the US has to lose on this any more than the rest
if anything it's Europe that get's fucked by the multi-polar world because we'll have to compete without Uncle Sam's finger on the scales
