#AsteriskMagazine on #AI!

[According to a superforecaster](https://asteriskmag.com/issues/03/ai-isn-t-coming-for-tech-jobs-yet), #LLMs will cause “5.5% job **growth** in 2025” (the picture is less clear in 2030 — even for him).

> _“We will develop ‘transformative AI’ able to do anything humans can do **sometime between 10 and 40 years from now**. These forecasts aren’t very good, but unless you have more expertise than the experts, are more super than the superforecasters, or have a more detailed model than the modelers, your attempt to invent a different number on the spot to compensate for their supposed biases will be even worse.”_

— [Scott Alexander](https://asteriskmag.com/issues/03/through-a-glass-darkly)