Peter Drake, he/him, LFHCfS 🔥 @peterdrake@social.cleverlibre.org

@boardgamebreakdown The *rules* of Go are simple, but of course the strategy is deep.

There are many ways to learn online. The American Go Association has an interactive "learn to play" page:

https://www.usgo.org/content.aspx?page_id=22&club_id=454497&module_id=550339

If the two of you are learning together, just understand the rules and have at it. There's a lifetime of discovery and boundless materials, apps, clubs, and tournaments.

After you have the rules down, here's a good book that reveals some of the depth:

https://app.thestorygraph.com/books/eb675f3a-b4d2-40f9-a8c8-432f2089be24

I (black) snatched victory from the jaws of defeat -- by half a point! #go #baduk #weiqi #BoardGamesAToZ

You watched Morbius.

I watched Morbius *while donating platelets*.

#blood

@freemo @trinsec

First, on the question of correlation vs causality, my understanding is that there are four possible explanations for a strong correlation between A and B:

1) It's a coincidence. Significance tests and replication can rule this out.
2) A causes B.
3) B causes A.
4) A and B are both caused by a third factor.

Does this match your understanding? If so, which one do you think is at play here (where A is high gun ownership rate and B is high homicide rate)?

Your one example does show a spike a few years later, but it disappears immediately. What we ideally need is a control country that is like Ireland in every other way but didn't confiscate guns in 1972. Without this policy, aside from the one-year spike, would homicide rates increase, stay steady, or decrease?

Now, on to questions of misattribution.

Your specific original claim was:

--
In other words a child is more than **twice** as likely in the USA to get struck by lightening as they are to die in a school shooting.

Should we still mourne and be outraged by it... sure.. does that mean it is a problem that is common enough to be a huge concern... not really. We should probably put more effort into addressing the "lightening problem" than we should be about addressing school shootings.
--

(BTW, is there an easy way to quote text with >?)

I read two things into this. Let me know if I've misinterpreted you.

1) The media overemphasizes school shootings specifically. Your child is extremely unlikely to die this way.

(I'll grant you this one; see also plane crashes and shark attacks.)

2) Because of these splashy mass shootings, the media makes too big a deal out of gun deaths. It would make more sense to worry about lightning, which is more likely to kill you.

It is to this second implication that I am reacting. That is why I brought out the general mass shooting numbers.

(I assume being hit by lightning is almost always fatal, so I didn't distinguish between being hit or killed.)

If you "never argued mass killings (by gun or any other means) was something we shouldnt address", I apologize for misreading that.

How do you suggest we address that problem?

I'm not sure why #Violet is so mad at the squirrels when they provide the valuable service of burying free peanuts in her back yard. #DogsOfMastodon

A bit of roof debris has made the rain chain go all Bellagio. #rain

@freemo @trinsec

At the risk of diving into statistical weeds deeper than my understanding, there is a strong positive correlation between gun ownership and homicide rates:

https://phys.org/news/2022-05-gun-ownership-homicide-stronger.html

https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/hicrc/firearms-research/guns-and-death/

Returning to your original post, there were 745 US deaths in mass shootings in 2021. Only 11 Americans were killed by lightning that year. (By odd coincidence, that was a record high year for gun deaths and a record low year for lightning deaths. There were a total of 444 lightning deaths from 2006 through 2021, an average of 27.75 per year.)

To say that lightning is more dangerous than mass shootings is wildly inaccurate. Comparing all PEOPLE killed by lightning to CHILDREN killed specifically in mass shootings AT PUBLIC SCHOOLS is cherry-picking.

It's a pretty safe bet that there will be multiple mass shootings in the US next week and there will not be multiple Americans killed by lightning.

@freemo @trinsec A child is very unlikely to die specifically in a *school shooting*, but firearms (yes, including suicide) are the leading cause of death among US children and adolescents.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2201761

https://www.theonion.com/no-way-to-prevent-this-says-only-nation-where-this-r-1850269373

@jenniekat Sometimes I meet my ethics halfway and order from someplace OTHER than Amazon, like the manufacturer.

Finally getting rid of our Monopoly set. We're never going to play it, it takes up too much space (in an awkward form factor), and we no longer have to worry about non-gaming relatives buying us one.

#BoardGames #monopoly

@kernpanik "Garrulus Glandarius" is the name of my next bard. #dnd #ttrpg

It wouldn't be G fortnight without some Go! I (white) got spanked, but it was a thrilling game. AI Sensei says we each made a 40-point blunder.

#go #baduk #weiqi #BoardGamesAToZ #BoardGames