TheOldGuy @TheOldGuy@social.cleverlibre.org
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 71 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
This was cold blooded murder
We solemnly commemorate the one-year anniversary of the tragic event in Olenivka colony No. 120, Donetsk region, where a mass murder of Ukrainian prisoners of war occurred at the hands of Russia.
As of today, here's what we know:
-Among the victims, 52 of our Defenders have been identified, and the identification process for the remaining seven is still ongoing.
-Unfortunately, no international organization has been granted access to investigate the site of the explosion.
-The United Nations has asserted that the Russian Federation has failed to ensure safe access for their organization to visit the colony. Nevertheless, detailed analysis and available information suggest that the explosion was not caused by a HIMARS missile.
-Currently, 16 forensic examinations related to the case are still in progress.
Get out your Kleenex
The government said the facade suffered slight damage
https://t.me/WarriorsUkrainian/7989
The defense of the Russians is weakening. The Armed Forces of Ukraine disrupted the logistics of the enemy and hampered the rapid movement of his troops at the front, - The Times.
There are now three likely scenarios:
▪️go east from Bakhmut and turn south towards Donetsk;
▪️move south from Ugledar to Mariupol;
▪️ go to Tokmak and Melitopol, isolate the Crimea and all the troops of the Russian Federation.
The latter option will allow the Armed Forces of Ukraine to reach Crimea with artillery and air attacks. And this will make the peninsula impossible for the presence of Russian military and civilians. This is a major advantage.
🔥 Sailors of the Russian Navy received Ukrainian "congratulations" on the holiday
🎉 The sailors of the occupying army were congratulated in a special way on the day of the Russian Navy. Previously, Ukrainian hackers had accessed Russian mass messaging systems (advertising spam).
Thus, Russian sailors, including Russian Navy commanders, received messages on Viber, Telegram, and WhatsApp messengers. The sailors thanked the congratulations and only then opened the video. The "greeting" itself contained a video of attacks on Russian warships, including the cruiser "Moscow".
📱 The messages contained a "Trojan" program that captures information from phones and redirects it to Ukrainian servers. Currently, the flow of information, including confidential information, continues.
❗️ Simultaneously, the servers of three Russian government websites were hacked. Including the website of the "Eurasian Economic Union". They also hosted the aforementioned video and gained access to classified information.
@wouterpoortinga
Someone had a good laugh at Donnie's expense.
https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/one-could-end-up-in-prison/51378/
TheOldGuy
boosted
@cobalt It's supposed to be 92 by 2PM. But still in the 70s right now. I am about to take my Deet shower and go into the garden.
Some people think this makes no sense. To me it makes perfect sense. Ukraine is also fighting for Europe's freedom and our freedom.
https://t.me/liveukraine_media/12139
tRump is himself a very bad joke.
https://www.palmerreport.com/analysis/this-is-a-bad-joke/51375/
CONTINUES…./
If they take their time and withdraw in an orderly fashion, it could take far longer to end the occupation. This is why the destruction of Russian logistics is, remains, and will be, a continuous and vital component to this offensive.
Even in the event the Ukrainian forces reach Crimea that’s a whole other issue. Just take a look at how long it took the Germans to break Russian defences in WW2 there and how hard it was for the Russians to get the Germans out again. Even if the bridge is unusable Russia still has its navy and before the start of the war they transferred several of their Ropucha assault landing ships from the Baltic to the Black Sea before Turkey closed the straits. They still have a means of moving troops bridge or no bridge.
Now grain. Let’s be clear about the Turkish position. Never ever did they say the would guard grain ships. It was indicated they might be open to it. This was if anything a negotiating ploy to persuade Russia to play ball. It failed because Putin wasn’t going to be put in a corner by Erdogan, or risk hitting NATO warships (Turkey is in NATO). So he called Erdogan’s bluff by destroying the capacity for Ukraine to export any grain, so no loading or port infrastructure = no ships to need protection. Yesterday Ukraine appeared to bow to the inevitable and said it’s grain export through the Black Sea wouldn’t resume until the war is over. However the EU has agreed to facilitate the export of grain through European ports, by road and rail - Croatia even offered its own ports to help out. So all is not lost. Bare in mind that while the biggest single customer was actually China (32.2%), the next biggest customers were actually Spain, Italy, Portugal & Ireland in the EU. Less than 20% went to the Middle East and Africa. However that last 20% went to markets where without it nobody eats at all in many cases, and that’s why it mattered so much.
Today is a big day. We should start to see how things develop.
Patience, vigilance, believe in The Plan (and its flexibility!) Because as then General Eisenhower once said, “Nothing goes wrong like a plan”. It’s how you deal with it and react when it happens that matters most.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦!
To Victory!
"From the Analyst"
LIBERATION, LOSSES, MISSILES & GRAIN
There is absolute confirmation now that Stariomorske has been liberated. Extensive video footage shows Ukrainians wandering about in the village - they are mostly shocked at the mess they find. The Russians have destroyed or removed almost everything, it’s little more than ruins and neglect. The village is extremely rural, surrounded by green farmland and fields as far as you can see. And everyone has gone.
All around the village lay the detritus of war. Dozens of T-72’s, T-80, a BMD command vehicle, a minelaying truck loaded with mines. These are actually quite rare and there are said to only be a dozen in the entire Russian army. Various types of BTR, BMP, all wrecks. Some are the specific type of lighter BMP3 used by the VDV Airborne forces. The Ukrainians are clearly shocked at the state of everything. They have a lot to say about the state of Russian culture and any one who could do what’s been done here.
Overall yesterday the Ukrainians managed to hunt down another 30 artillery pieces and destroy them, sending the total towards 660 for the month at current rates - add that to 711 from the month before - a truly unsustainable loss level.
Quite how far the advances have reached we won’t know until the mappers catch up. DeepState is almost useless except as a valuable historical record because they’re two days behind for OPSEC reasons, but others will catch-up during today.
Over at Taganrog, a small town in the coast west of Rostov on Don, the target of the ballistic missile was an FSB data centre believed to coordinate the activities of Ukrainians in the occupied territories. This site may have contributed to anti-partisan activities and surveillance efforts and was almost certainly regarded as being out of danger. It’s time the Russians learned that what they think is safe is not. The missile warhead can clearly be seen on several videos and looks like it’s part of the new longer ranged Ukrainian domestically produced Grom or Hrim series already known to exist. It’s been almost a year since these were last identifiably used (suspected use is one thing but actual confirmation is another) and they may well have a longer ranged version by now.
Before we go on we need to address the Surovikin line as it’s been called.
This is a belt of trenches, mines and dragons teeth across much of the rear lines. Some of it is clearly incomplete. Much of it isn’t even manned - it’s impossible to do so. The idea is to fill it with defenders as attackers come towards it, but you have to be fast and agile and able, to find troops to man it you don’t need elsewhere.
In history there have, since the development of the tank concept, been almost no examples of defences that have not been breached and overcome, usually rapidly. Often they are bypassed, because once a key section is opened up, the very nature of the fixed defences leaves them useless and the defending troops are vulnerable to being surrounded, often forcing quick retreats.
What’s happened so far is that heavily rural areas on hills and in valleys have provided huge opportunity for defence. The Ukrainians are now not far from the other side of that area, approaching what was described as the Ukrainian Steppes, before irrigation improved the situation. This is more open, generally flatter and far more conducive to armoured warfare. The Russians know that once they break though into this area their days are numbered.
However it comes with its own challenges- not least of which are Ukraine’s own ability to supply its forces as their once short logistics lines begins to stretch, in areas of limited and poor roads, all likely mined. The reason the Ukrainians ran out of steam last year in the Kharkiv area was they just couldn’t keep up with the demands of supply as the front moved so quickly - any army would find this a challenge.
The Russians will be moving closer to their supply hubs as they retreat - so how they retreat and conduct themselves will be key to how long they hold out. they’re screwed.
CONTINUES…/
The pope asks for the reinstatement of the grain deal
https://t.me/liveukraine_media/12130
They took 4th place
I am a Democrat who supports Ukraine in their battle against The Russian fascist invaders.
I am a 71 year old Covid hermit who
lives on 10 acres in a sparsely populated area of the Ozarks. I heat with wood that is leftover by the lumber industry. When cutting oak for lumber only the trunk is used.
The largest town is population 2992. The county is 13k people scattered over 713 square miles.
Joined Dec 2022
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