RRB @rrb@social.cleverlibre.org
#ECE Professor. Computer/Network #security #research. #InternetFreedom applications in #SubSaharanAfrica. #Africtivistes supporter. #Danaides CTO.
Joined Nov 2022
RRB
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RT @golub
The daughter of Russian Nazi minister of defense Shoigu enjoys shopping in Dubai while thousands of stupid Russians die in droves after being bonked by HIMARS
I am looking forward to this law leading to the porn watching habits of Louisiana politicians being made public.
Remember these past greatest hits from Louisiana politicos:
https://www.wonkette.com/diaperman-david-vitter-likes-his-diapers
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EFF's @jgkelley tells NPR's All Things Considered that Louisiana's age verification law could lead to risks like blackmail: "Porn is already used to trick [people] into downloading malware. Now these sites have a legal basis for asking a person to upload their identity info." https://www.npr.org/transcripts/1147762020
I am starting to see this as a feature more than a bug. Maybe in the near future people will be forced to think and consider multiple sources of information rather than just blindly swallowing random BS.
AI/ML BS generation may make this a reality. That is the only application for this garbage that makes sense to me lately.
I remember moving to Munich from Baltimore and how strange it was to be able to go anywhere in the city at any time of the day or night without having to consider the eminent threat of violence.
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A six-year-old in Virginia shot his teacher. What sort of society allows guns to be in close proximity to children'? A deeply sick one that I'll never choose to return to, that's what.
@kimzetter I was really impressed by the ethics statement at the end. Loosely transcribed:
"This tool can easily be used to forge audio of anyone saying anything objectionable that you want, but do not expect us to take any responsibility for giving you this tool."
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In social sciences there is no perfect analysis. But this is still superior to simple corelation in this case. That said there are more advanced techniques that are arguably even better. But those are hard to explain to people.
@freemo @protecttruth
So, if I get the causality model correct, it seems that if 2 time series are correlated you assume that the one time series that started earlier is a good predictor of the second. This makes a lot of sense. I would worry about using that for social science, though, since you will have limited independent samples and you can have multiple other factors.
For example, the 2 examples you provide is Northern Ireland during the "troubles" and I would suspect that the deadly violence may have been more influenced by "Bloody Sunday" than a dun control bill.
Similarly, the Jamaica data you present is tied to a period of increased drug dealing and gang violence.
But, this is always a problem with social science as a whole. I think it forces analysts to be "creative" which can lead to cherry picking data.
My understanding, I am not an economist, is that they look for states with similar trends and social make up until the law implementation. Then they see how the trends progress in the two states after the change.
That seems to me to make sense.
With # 2, a large percentage of mass shootings in the US are domestic violence related. Would you be fine with red flag laws tied to domestic abuse or restraining orders?
That seems to be a problem in many cases.
The argument with suicide, and for waiting times for gun purchases, is that suicide seems to be caused by short-lived impulses. If they wait, then they do not try it. Also, guns are more deadly than other methods. If they try with another method and survive, they do not do it again.
I tend to support "free will" with most things. In this case, forcing someone to wait for a while does not seem onerous.
I am fine with euthanasia, for example, but find it OK to make someone wait for a while first.
@freemo @protecttruth
My other question would be that economists often use "natural experiments" comparing similar states in the USA with different laws and seeing how things evolve.
Do you have data on that? I am curious. I have been following Daniel Webster at Hopkins' work and he seems to draw different conclusions than you.
Just curious about the two items that seem to be most important:
1. Increased suicide risk
2. Use in domestic violence.
You do not see causality in those cases?
Would also like your take on the red flag laws and safe storage. Do you see any downsides with those mandates. They just seem like common sense to me.
@freemo @protecttruth
Johns Hopkins center for prevention of gun violence's most common suggestions:
1. Red Flag laws to let people close to someone have guns taken away if people are shown to provide a risk to themselves or others.
2. Laws to mandate safe storage of firearms.
3. Universal background checks.
4. Waiting periods for firearm purchases.
Please respond to the toot above. They are the people asking for help.
@potemkinvillage https://mastodon.social/@nunesgh/109655414119454647 nunesgh@mastodon.social - Asking for help from the #OSINT community here on #...
#ECE Professor. Computer/Network #security #research. #InternetFreedom applications in #SubSaharanAfrica. #Africtivistes supporter. #Danaides CTO.
Joined Nov 2022
